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Fierce Price Competition Amongst WOLED TVs, QD-OLED TVs, and Neo QLED TVs

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We experienced fierce price competition in the first half of 2022 among premium TVs with a launch price of $2,000 or more. It will be interesting to see how the Amazon Prime Day event scheduled for July will affect TV prices.
2022 OLED TV prices until June 2022 was analyzed based on 65 inch TVs. The standard was the selling price on Bestbuy.com and Sony’s QD-OLED TV selling price on their official website.
LG Electronics’ WOLED TVs B2, C2, and G2 released in March were $2,300, $2,500, and $3,200, respectively. Samsung Electronics’ QD-OLED TV S95B was $3,000. Sony’s WOLED TV A80K was priced at $3,800 and QD-OLED TV A95K was priced at $4,000.

In June, the price of LG Electronics’ G2 model fell by $200, forming a price difference of $500 for each series. Samsung Electronics’ S95B model continues to maintain a price difference of $200 lower than LG Electronics’ high-end model G2. Sony lowered the price of the WOLED TV A80K by $300, while maintaining the price of QD-OLED TV A95K.
Samsung Electronics’ S95B and LG Electronics’ high-end OLED TV G2 are in heavy price competition. Sony is setting the price of QD-OLED TV higher than WOLED TV.
The price competition is also fierce between OLED TVs from each set makers and Neo QLED TVs with Samsung Electronics’ mini-LED technology.
As of June, the prices of Samsung Electronics’ 4K Neo QLED TVs, QN85B, QN90B, and QN95B, are $1,800, $2,600, and $3,300, respectively. The 8K Neo QLED TVs QN800B and QN900B are $3,300 and $4,800.

The prices of Samsung Electronics’ 4K Neo QLED TV series and LG Electronics’ 4K OLED TV series are similar. Within Samsung Electronics’ entire TV series, QD-OLED TV is located between 4K Neo QLED and 8K Neo QLED. Sony’s OLED TV series, which is highly evaluated in terms of picture quality, is competing in price with Samsung Electronics’ 8K Neo QLED TV series.
Although this price trend is expected to continue this year, aggressive marketing following the Amazon Prime event in the second half of the year and the Qatar World Cup is expected to be strong variables. Attention should be paid to how LG Electronics’ OLED TV with micro lens array technology, which is expected to be released next year, will affect the premium TV market in the future.

OLED Smartphone Launch Products Slows Down In The First Half of 2022

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The number of OLED smartphone launches, which had steadily increased from 2019 to 2021 reached only 110 units in the first half of 2022. 137 units had been released in 2019, 166 units in 2020, and 225 units in 2021. If this industry trend continues in 2022, OLED smartphones expected release will only be similar to 2021 or even slightly fewer than it had been last year.
Most of the smartphones released in the first half of 2022 were made in China. 98 products from China accounted for 89% of market share, followed by 9 products from Korea, 2 from Japan, and 1 from India.
By size, 6.6-inch products were the most with 34 types, followed by 6.4-inch products with 31 types and 6.7-inch products with 21 types. The largest sized product was Vivo’s ‘X Fold’, which was an 8.03-inch foldable. Not including the foldables, Vivo’s ‘X Note’ was the largest at 7.0 inches. The smallest product was Sony’s ‘Xperia 10 IV’, which was 6.0 inches.
By design, 102 types of punch hole models were released, with 4 narrow bezel types, 2 notch types, and 2 UPC types. There were two types of smartphones with UPC (Under Panel Camera) applied: ZTE’s Axon 40 Ultra and Nubia Red Magic 7 Pro.

By resolution, 51 products with 300ppi range, 50 products with 400ppi range, and 9 products with 500ppi or higher were released. No products under 300ppi were released. The product with the highest resolution was Sony’s ‘Xpeia 1 IV’, which had a resolution of 643ppi.
There were three foldable phones released in the first half of the year: Vivo’s ‘X Fold’, Honor’s ‘Magic V’, and Huawei’s ‘Mate Xs2’. All three types of foldable phones have a punch-hole design. The resolution of ‘Mate Xs2’ was 424ppi, which is 10ppi higher than the average OLED smartphones released in the first half of the year. Whereas ‘X Fold’ and ‘Magic V’ were two products with the lowest resolution among OLED smartphones released in the first half of the year.

 

Merck, now it is time to consider the refractive index of common layer materials.

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At the ‘OLED settlement seminar for the first half of 2022’ held at COEX on June 23, Merck’s Kim Jun-ho, head of research institute, said, “The concept of the refractive index of the emitting layer is often applied to the capping layer on the cathode, but now it is also required for HTL” and mentioned that the light extraction efficiency can be improved through the optimized refractive index design of HTL.

Next, Kim said, “Because the refractive index of HTL has a trade-off relationship with the hole transport capacity, it is difficult to adjust the refractive index,” and “Even though it was lowered to 1.77 from 1.85, the light extraction efficiency could be improved by 7% without an increase in the driving voltage or a decrease in electron mobility.”

Recently, panel makers are continuously developing the OLED light extraction efficiency. This is because by increasing the light extraction efficiency, as a result, the battery life can be increased. Representative examples include a high-refractive capping layer and micro lens array, and an on-cell film that removes the polarizer and uses a color filter.
The concept of the refractive index of the light emitting, which had been concentrated on the capping layer, is extended to the common layer, and it is expected that panel makers will intensify technological competition, and that there will be many changes in the supply chain of emitting materials of panel makers in the future.

 

Choong-Hoon Yi, CEO of UBI Research, “Korean display companies must have price competitiveness as well as OLED technology competitiveness”

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Although there is still a gap in display technology between Korea and China, it has been argued that Korean display companies should have price competitiveness as soon as possible.

On the 23rd, at the ‘OLED Settlement Seminar for the first half of 2022’ held at COEX in Samsung-dong, Seoul, UBI Research CEO Choong-Hoon Yi made a presentation on ‘Forecast of the small OLED market, which China is chasing fiercely’.

CEO Yi announced, “Currently, the media reports that the technological gap between Korea and China has almost narrowed, but making and displaying products and mass-producing products are two different things, and the technological gap between Korea and China is still significant.” He continued, “Samsung Display is planning various products such as slideable and Z-folding based on technological competitiveness. However, it will be difficult to commercialize it immediately because the slideable phone invades the existing foldable phone market.”

CEO Yi said, “It is very important not only to develop technological competitiveness, but also to increase price competitiveness. The reason Korean companies closed the LCD business is not because of the good technology of Chinese companies, but because they were pushed back in price competitiveness.”, and “As the technology advances, the performance difference felt by ordinary consumers becomes insignificant, so products with good price competitiveness are inevitable in the market,” he analyzed.

Finally, “China’s OLED industry is growing under the enormous support from the government. In order not to lose the lead in the OLED market like LCD to China, it is essential for domestic companies to prepare for price competitiveness and the government’s support policy,” he concluded.

GrapheneLab surpasses the ppi limit with a plated metal mask

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GrapheneLab, a graphene commercialization technology company, announced that it is possible to manufacture FMMs over 800ppi using graphene.

At the ‘UBI Research First Half 2022 OLED Settlement Seminar’ held at COEX in Samseong-dong, Seoul on the 23rd, GrapheneLab CEO Yong-duk Kwon said, “In the early 2000s, FMM technology, which started in the early 2000s, was not interested in the plating method. It is changing,”, and “After 2013, many patents related to the plating method FMM manufacturing technology have been applied, and it is easier to apply the plating method than the currently used etching method in order to go to high resolution.”

Next, CEO Kwon said, “We moved away from the existing limiting etching method FMM and applied the plating method FMM. Compared to the etching method, where 400ppi was the limit at the same thickness, the plating method realized more than 600ppi.”, “Etched metal mask has a dead zone of 8um in length due to the INVAR structure that becomes sharp like a dot when etching at a depth of 20um, whereas there is no dead zone during pattern plating of the plated metal mask.”

Lastly, CEO Kwon said, “For the MSAP electroforming technology, a low coefficient of thermal expansion with a thin thickness is required. As a result of measuring the coefficient of thermal expansion using TMA on the plated sample, it was measured up to 3.1ppm, and it went down to 2.5ppm without heat treatment.”

Will BOE Resume iPhone 13 Production?

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<iPhone13/Apple>

It seems that BOE has started line operations for iPhone 13.
Back in March, most of the iPhone 13 shipments were canceled due to an issue with Apple. BOE will now resume production. With this new development, BOE’s forecast for iPhone 13 production this year is expected to increase after being adjusted down in March.
BOE has a total of 20 iPhone module lines at its B11 (Mianyang) plant. BOE’s production of the iPhone 13 is believed to have begun in early June and production of the iPhone 14 is expected to begin as well. The B11 factory has iPhone 13 line to produce iPhone 12 and 13 and iPhone 14 module line exclusively for iPhone 14, as the process is quite different from iPhone 13 line.
Details of BOE’s iPhone 13 and 14 production volume, panel unit price, and module line by product can be found in UBI Research’s ‘China Trend Report’. UBI Research’s ‘China Trend Report’ can be inquired on the UBI Research website.

1Q of 2022 OLED Emitting Material Market $420 million, up 9% Compared to the Same Quarter of the Previous Year

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According to “2Q22 OLED Emitting Material Market Track”, a quarterly report published by UBI Research, the sales of emitting materials in the first quarter were $421 million, down 21.1% (QoQ) from $533 million in the previous quarter but was an increase by 9% (YoY)when compared to $386 million in the first quarter of 2021.
Although sales of emitting materials for TV and mobile devices decreased compared to the previous quarter, IT sales recorded a meaningful figure of $6.6 million. Although sales fluctuate depending on seasonal demand for applied products, if the sales of emitting materials are analyzed by application product, TV use is gradually increasing.

The top 3 companies in 1Q sales were UDC($86.6 million), DuPont($41.3 million), and Duksan($37.5 million). Duksan became the number one company in sales as a Korean company. The overall sales of luminescent materials in the first quarter decreased compared to the previous quarter but only UDC’s sales increased. Sales decreased to $421.5 million in 1Q22 from $533.8 million in 4Q21. However, UDC’s 1Q22 sales increased to $86.6 million from 4Q21’s sales of $85.5 million. It is estimated that this is due to the rise in the price of rare earth metals, a key material for manufacturing dopant.
Estimated sales of emitting materials in 2022 are $1.77 billion and are expected to grow to $2.4 billion in 2026.
By application product, the projected sales of emitting materials for smartphones this year are $1.4 billion, accounting for 79% of the total.
Of the projected sales in 2026, emitting materials for TV are expected to reach $550 million, which is expected to increase by 23%. In addition, emitting materials for IT are expected to account for 9% of $210 million.

“OLED Emitting Material Market Track” surveys and analyzes the market for quarterly OLED emitting materials. The total market of light emitting materials was identified by examining sales by light emitting layer and common layer. Performance analysis was categorized by country, panel maker, application product, layer, and OLED method (RGB, WRGB, QD-OLED). In addition, OLED market information for the next five years (up to 2026) was forecasted by predicting the amount of emitting material usage and sales by company. The quarterly market track provides necessary information to industry professionals who lead the OLED industry.

Chinese Panel Makers in Crisis! Will the Display Business’s Deficit Increase This Year?

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Honor 70 With Panels Supplied by Visionox

Chinese panel makers such as Visionox and BOE are expected to face losses due to cost pressures.
The operation rate of Visionox was analyzed to be high. This is because Visionox is exclusively producing 70-80% of Honor, a large Chinese smartphone manufacturer.
However, despite the high operation rate, Visionox’s business status is precarious at best. Through cooperative efforts, Visionox was allocated most of Honor’s panel production quantity, but it is known that Honor has requested additional panel price reduction. According to some sources, Visionox is currently facing a loss of about 200 million yuan per month due to the reduced panel price.
BOE, the largest panel maker in China is also facing trouble. BOE along with Visionox had previously been in charge of panel production for Honor but received almost no allocation of production volume from Honor. Earlier this year, BOE faced tremendous difficulty due to the cancellation of existing iPhone 13 shipments to Apple. In April, BOE’s CEO Gao Wenbao felt a sense of crisis due to pressure on OLED and LCD volume and price and gave direct orders on cost reduction. Currently, BOE’s OLED line operation rate is less than 40% and it is estimated that the OLED business unit may incur a loss of about 10 billion yuan this year.
LCD, which is one of the main businesses of Chinese panel makers, is continuously falling in prices and the supply and demand of panels from smartphone set makers are sluggish. If an appropriate countermeasure is not found, Chinese panel makers will continue to experience a growing deficit in the display business.

Samsung Display Unveils World’s First High Refresh Rate 240Hz OLED

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□ OLED supporting 240Hz, installed in new MSI notebooks
□ Emerging as a ‘game changer’ in the gaming laptop market with high refresh rate OLED

<World’s first 240Hz OLED laptop from MSI featuring Samsung Display OLED delivers game changing lifelike immersiveness>

Samsung Display today announced the start of mass production of the world’s first OLED displays for laptops with high refresh rate of 240Hz. The new panel will make its debut in MSI’s latest 15.6-inch gaming laptop, Raider GE67 HX, upping the ante in the fiercely competitive gaming market for high-performance displays.
Samsung Display’s OLED exceptional advantages of wide color gamut, high contrast ratio, true black and low blue light are not only recognized by smartphone users but by discerning laptop users as well. Beyond visual elements, specifications that affect actual gameplay such as response time and refresh rate, are more critical to gaming laptop users and the reason many players are opting for OLED products.
Refresh rate, or the number of times a display can update its image in one second, is a key factor in display performance. The higher the refresh rate, the smoother the movements on a screen without afterimages. As displays featuring higher refresh rates present better image transitions, they are the tools of choice among first-person shooter (FPS) players who need to perceive fast-changing game situations as quickly as possible.
“OLED with high refresh rate is the perfect combination for a premium gaming experience, with super-low response time, super-wide color gamut, and super-high contrast ratio. In addition, it balances well between high resolution and high refresh rate performance,” said Clark Peng, Vice President of MSI Notebook Product Management Division. “Therefore, the latest 240Hz OLED display is suitable for high-performance enthusiasts and content creators as well as for gamers enjoying premium games,” he added.
“Our new 240Hz refresh rate OLED meets and exceeds the demand of consumers who have long been waiting for a laptop with a high refresh rate OLED panel,” said Jeeho Baek, Executive Vice President and Head of Samsung Display Strategic Marketing for Small and Medium Business. “The clear advantages offered by high refresh rate OLED panels compared to LCDs will be a game changer for the gaming industry.”
To introduce Raider GE67 HX to the world, MSI will hold a new product launching event on its YouTube channel on June 7, 2022, 10:00 a.m. PDT under the theme “MSIology: Ahead of the Curve.”

 

What is the future change of WRGB OLED to respond to QD-OLED?

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2As Samsung Display’s QD-OLED begins to be applied to TVs and monitors in earnest in 2022, technological changes are being detected for LG Display’s WRGB OLED, which has been leading the large OLED market.

LG Display’s WRGB OLED has produced a WBC structure consisting of two blue layers and one red+yellow green layer in Paju by the end of 2021, and a WBE structure consisting of two blue layers and one red+green+yellow green layer in Guangzhou. Deuterium substitution technology was applied to the blue of the WBE structure.

Since 2022, LG Display has stopped producing WBC panels from its Paju line and has been producing ‘OLED.EX’ panels with deuterium substitution technology applied additionally to green of WBE produced in Guangzhou.

<Photo of OLED.EX presented by LG Display at the 2022 OLED Korea Conference>

At SID 2022, LG Display also exhibited a large OLED panel with micro lens array technology. Micro lens array technology was applied to Samsung Electronics’ ‘Galaxy S Ultra’ series, and it is the first technology applied to large OLEDs. LG Display is known to expect a 20% improvement in luminance compared to the previous one by applying micro lens array technology. Panels which micro lens array technology is applied are expected to be produced in Paju from the second half of this year.

Lastly, it is known that LG Display is developing a structure in which yellow green is removed from WRGB OLED. By eliminating yellow green, material and processing costs can be saved, and color gamut is expected to be improved.

Attention is paid to how LG Display’s WRGB OLED will evolve to compete against QD-OLED.

<OLED panel with micro lens array technology exhibited by LG Display at SID 2022>

SID Display Week 2022

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[SID2022] Display Week Booth Tour

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[UBI Research China Trend Report] Will BOE Provide UPC Panel with Transparent PI Substrate to Oppo?

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BOE, the largest display maker in China, produces UPC (Under Panel Camera) panels with transparent PI substrates.

UPC is a technology that makes a full screen of a smartphone possible by placing the front camera under the screen. The UPC technology that is currently commercialized is a method of patterning the cathode electrode and changing the resolution near the camera. However, this time it is expected that a transparent PI substrate will be additionally applied to the UPC panel supplied by BOE to Oppo.

Existing transparent PI substrates had difficulties in mass production due to the high process temperature of LTPS TFT. Yet, the recent test results of the panels with the transparent PI substrate produced by BOE reached most conditions of satisfactory levels even at the LTPS TFT process temperature.

The UPC OLED panel with the transparent PI substrate developed by BOE is expected to be installed in Oppo’s upcoming products.

Introducing iPhone 14 Display Specifications and Panel Vendors

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<Apple iPhone 14 Series Specifications>

 

Samsung Display, LG Display, and BOE are expected to supply panels to Apple’s new iPhone 14 series in 2022. It is expected that Samsung Display will supply panels to all models in addition to iPhone 13 series. LG Display will supply 6.12-inch LTPS models and 6.69-inch LTPO models. BOE will supply panels only to 6.12-inch LTPS models.

The existing 5.4-inch mini model has been removed from the iPhone 14 series and a 6.69-inch Max model has been added. The size and resolution of iPhone 14 Max are the same as iPhone 14 Pro Max and LTPS TFT is applied instead of LTPO TFT.

In terms of design, the iPhone14 Pro and 14 Pro Max will have a punch hole design instead of the conventional notch. Apple’s punch hole design is expected to be applied as a double punch hole design due to various sensors and cameras.

Meanwhile, the total OLED panel supply to Apple in 2022 is expected to be about 215 million units, with Samsung Display expected to supply 135 million units, LG Display 55 million units, and BOE 25 million units. However, shipments are expected to be organically controlled due to market conditions and Apple’s policies.

[2022 OLED KOREA CONFERENCE] LG Display’s OLED 3.0 Captures Brightness and Lifespan Simultaneously

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At the keynote session of UBI Research’s ‘2022 OLED Korea Conference’ held from April 6th to 8th, Sang-Hyun Ahn, Managing Director of LG Display, announced, ‘The Present and Future of Automotive OLED Display: LG Display’s Future Outlook’.

Director Ahn announced, “The future will transform people and vehicles, and vehicles and vehicles to be connected, autonomous, shareable, and electrically driven. In order to respond to these changes, vehicle displays are getting bigger and more diverse in design, and displays are being applied to various locations to provide sights and information”.

Director Ahn continued, “The automotive display industry was led by LCD, but the OLED market is also gradually expanding its area.” He predicted, “The automotive OLED market will be worth $1.2 billion in 2025, It is also possible to grow to $6 billion.”

In addition, Director Ahn said, “LG ​​Display has already introduced an OLED 1.0 structure that satisfies the minimum requirements for automotive display: brightness of 800 nits and lifespan of 10,000 hours. Unlike OLED for smartphones, OLED for automobiles requires brightness of 800 nits or more to grasp accurate information even during the day, and lifespan of 10,000 hours or more is essential because the use cycle is more than 10 years. Although there is a trade-off between brightness and lifetime, we plan to develop OLED 3.0 with a brightness of 1,000 nits or more and a lifetime of 10,000 hours or more by overcoming this through development of materials and structures.”

Lastly, Director Ahn mentioned about future displays such as extra-large and transparent, slidable, and rollable that are applied to vehicles and said, “Many companies want large and many screens, but they want to hide those screens inside the vehicle. Slidable panels, which can be a solution to this, are already technologically stable and can become common around 2025. On the other hand, rollable panels, such as those that come down from a vehicle sunroof, still have a long way to go, but we will continue to develop them.”

 

[2022 OLED KOREA CONFERENCE] LG Display Executive Vice President Hyun-Woo Lee, Advancements in the Display Market with Technological Innovation that Suits Changing Lifestyles

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Executive Vice President Lee explained OLED technology innovation, future application fields, and market changes. He mentioned that COVID-19 has increased everyone’s time at home and changes in life display is necessary to match it.

Executive Vice President Lee first explained LG Display’s OLED.EX, and said, “LG Display’s OLED.EX is the most advanced OLED panel to which EX technology is applied. OLED.EX applies deuterium to increase brightness (an important element in OLED panels) by 30%. Through personalize algorithm based on AI and big data, reliability will be increased.” He also emphasized that “LG Display’s OLED.EX will be applied to all OLED TVs in the second quarter of 2022 and LG Display will lead the display market with innovative technologies including OLED.EX.”

Next, Executive Vice President Lee announced about life displays applied to everyday life, and said, “OLED is applied to life displays such as gaming, transparent, and portable displays. OLED realizes 100% original color to increase the sense of reality and enables excellent interaction with eye care, making it suitable as a gaming display.” Also “Transparent OLED maximizes the advantages of OLED, enabling the highest level of transparency and picture quality. By applying it to signage, it provides an effective experience to customers, and by applying it to mobility, it can use the dead space to indicate the current operation status or use it for advertisements. In addition, it is possible to create a space of new value and change a creative lifestyle by applying it to life”.

‘2022 OLED Korea Conference’ was a conference for exchange of ideas, business relationships, and partnerships with renowned speakers from major companies in the display industry from all over the world. ‘2022 OLED Korea Conference’ held a business conference on the 7th and 8th, beginning with a tutorial on April 6th.

 

[2022 OLED KOREA CONFERENCE] Samsung Electronics Joins the OLED TV Market, and the TV Panel Market is Expected to Exceed 20 million Units in 2025

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At UBI Research’s ‘2022 OLED Korea Conference’ held on April 6th-8th, UBI Research CEO Choong-Hoon Lee gave a presentation on, ‘OLED Market Review’.

CEO Lee presented the status of the entire OLED industry, market, and outlook with a focus on issues in 2022.

CEO Lee first announced the OLED TV business, a major issue in the recent OLED industry. CEO Lee said, “The biggest issue that has been heating up the OLED industry since the end of last year is OLED TV. There are topics such as Samsung Display’s re-entry into the large OLED business, sales of QD-OLED TVs between Samsung Electronics and Sony, and visualization of collaboration between Samsung Electronics and LG Display.”

In the TV OLED panel demand and supply forecast, CEO Lee said, “If Samsung Electronics purchases OLED panels from LG Display and conducts OLED TV business, LG Display and Samsung Display can supply a total of 12 million TV OLED panels this year. Among them, demand is 11.7 million units, and oversupply accounts for only 3%.” In addition, “With the joining of Samsung Electronics, the demand for OLED TV panels is expected to expand to 13 million units in 2023 and 20 million units in 2025. According to the expanding market, companies need to expand their facilities by the third quarter of this year” he predicted.

CEO Lee continued, “LG ​​Display has been working hard to secure funds for 8.5 generation OLED line expansion since last year, and it is estimated that it will secure additional funds for 45K expansion within this year. With LG Display’s additional measures, the TV OLED panel market is expected to reach 13.5 million units in 2023 and 16 million units after 2024. However, to secure a market of more than 20 million units, it is necessary to plan to invest in the 10.5 generation by next year” he analyzed. He also said, “If Samsung Display invests, 10.5G investment is desirable, but 8.5G investment is expected.” He said, “Whether LG Display invests or Samsung Display invests, a long-term supply contract with Samsung Electronics for 10.5G investment should take precedence. If the investment proceeds, Samsung Display is expected to secure its own funds, but LG Display is expected to require joint investment with Samsung Electronics.”

‘2022 OLED Korea Conference’ was a conference for exchange of ideas, business relationships, and partnerships with renowned speakers from major companies in the display industry from all over the world. ‘2022 OLED Korea Conference’ held a business conference on the 7th and 8th, beginning with a tutorial on April 6th.

 

 

 

[2022 OLED KOREA CONFERENCE] What New Technology Will Advance OLED for Mobile Devices?

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At UBI Research’s ‘2022 OLED Korea Conference Tutorial’ held on April 6th-8th, Dr. Jae-Jin Yoo from the Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering at Seoul National University gave a presentation on, ‘An Overview of OLED Materials and Devices’.

Dr. Yoo explained the paradigm and market prospect of OLED for mobile devices, the structure of each layer, and the light emitting material. Although LCD is still leading the market by introducing mini-LED and other technologies, it is predicted that OLED will lead the display market in the future.

Dr. Yoo explained that among the latest technologies, “LTPO TFT is a technology newly applied to mobile by supplementing the shortcomings of LTPS TFT and oxide TFT process. LTPO TFT is a double-designed display with low electron mobility but no leakage current by changing at least one transistor to oxide in the LTPS TFT process”. He also explained, “In still images, LTPS TFT needs to be driven at 60Hz to maintain the brightness of the screen due to high leakage current, but for oxide TFTs, 1Hz operation is possible because of low leakage current.” Dr. Yoo added, “Although there is an issue that the process of LTPO TFT is more complicated than that of LTPS TFT, it can reduce the total power of mobile devices by 10~15% and it has the advantage that it can be applied to AOD (Always on Display).”

Next, introducing the OLED deposition method and vapor deposition machine, he explained that if the 8.5 generation vertical deposition method, which is currently an issue for IT, is commercialized, it has many advantages in terms of productivity and is a much anticipated technology.

‘2022 OLED Korea Conference’ was a conference for exchange of ideas, business relationships, and partnerships with renowned speakers from major companies in the display industry from all over the world. ‘2022 OLED Korea Conference’ held a business conference on the 7th and 8th, beginning with a tutorial on April 6th.

[2022 OLED KOREA CONFERENCE] Expected iPhone Shipments to Remain Strong at 249 Million Units in 2022

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At UBI Research’s ‘2022 OLED Korea Conference’ held from April 6th to 8th, Yasuo Nakane, senior analyst at Mizuho Securities, presented ‘Consumer Electronics/Flat Panel Display Industry What is the Outlook for Turbulent 2022?’ .

Regarding Apple’s iPhone industry, Senior Vice President Nakane said, “The strength of iPhone continued in 2021. iPhone production in 2021 was 234 million units, which was 3 million less than shipments of 237 million units. Sales were 240 million units which made it so that no inventory was accumulated.” He also announced that “In the first quarter of 2022, 62 million iPhones were produced, a 13% increase compared to the same period last year, and 53 million units are expected to be produced in the second quarter”. He analyzed the outlook of 2022, “Considering the strong first half of 2022 and the impact of new product price hikes in the second half of 2022, annual iPhone production in 2022 is estimated to be 249 million units, a 6% increase from the previous year, of which iPhone 14 is estimated to be 83 million.”

Next, regarding the older iPhone models, he analyzed that “iPhone13 series is expected to continue sales for the time being except for iPhone13 Mini. Among iPhone12 series, only iPhone12 will continue to be sold”. He also announced, “Samsung Display supplies panels for all models of the iPhone series, LG Display supplied LTPO models for the first time, and BOE’s panels will continue to be used in iPhone12.” In addition, he predicted, “Suggestions to apply not only LCD but also OLED to iPhone SE3 would continue and iPhone 11’s camera is expected to be used. Face ID would not be applied.”

Regarding the timing of OLED application for iPad and MacBook, Nakane said, “It is expected that two models of iPad air with OLED will come out in the second half of 2024 at the earliest and OLED will be applied to MacBook Air in the second half of 2025 at the earliest.” Finally, “the business plan for the foldable model has not been decided, but it seems that they are interested in a PC-size foldable model rather than a smartphone-sized foldable model. The plan is to release them after 2026.” he predicted.

 

[China Trend Report] TCL CSOT’s T8 Project to Invest in Generation 8.5 Inkjet Printing Technology

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According to the ‘China Trend Report’ published by UBI Research, TCL CSOT plans to apply the generation 8.5 inkjet printing OLED technology to the T8 line. It is expected that some layers will be formed by vapor deposition in the inkjet printing method rather than the complete inkjet printing method. The location is likely to be Guangzhou.

TCL CSOT’s T8 line was scheduled to start construction in March 2022 using the inkjet method, but there were rumors that the schedule continued to be delayed due to investment scale and yield issues. There are also talks about the project being canceled altogether. However, it seems that TCL CSOT has continuously improved its technology by continuously collaborating with JOLED. They also announced related contents at DTC 2021 held in November 2021.

It is is expected that mainly OLEDs for IT and automobiles will be mass-produced at the T8 line. The investment schedule and details of the TCL CSOT T8 project can be found in the ‘March China Trend Report’.

 

Analysis of 65-inch Premium TV Price Trends in the First Quarter of 2022

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We analyzed the prices of 65-inch TVs of Samsung Electronics’ QLED TVs, OLED TVs from LG Electronics and Sony, and LG Electronics’ QNED TVs until March 2022.

The models we investigated at Samsung Electronics were 4K high-end model QN90A, 4K entry-level models QN85A and QN80A, and 8K models QN800A and QN900A. The models at LG Electronics were OLED TVs A1, C1, and G1 models and QNED TVs QN90UP and QN99UP. The models at Sony Electronics were OLED TV XR65A80J and XR65A90J.

The prices of Samsung Electronics’ 4K models QN90A, QN85A, and QN80A were $2600, $2200, $1700, respectively and the 8K models QN900A and QN800A were $5000 and $3500, respectively. The launch prices of LG Electronics’ OLED TVs A1, C1, and G1 were $2000, $2300, and $3000, respectively while the QNED TVs QNED90UP and QNED99UP were $1600 and $2700, respectively. Sony’s OLED TVs XR65A80J and XR65A90J were priced at $2800 and $4000, respectively.

As of March, the highest-priced 65-inch premium TV model was Sony’s XR65A90J. The lowest-priced model was Samsung Electronics’ QN65QN80A.

The prices of most of Samsung Electronics’ products have been falling since December. As of March, Samsung Electronics’ 80A, 85A, and 90A models are priced at $150, $200, and $500 lower than LG Electronics’ A1, C1, and G1 models, respectively, to induce consumption.

The price of LG Electronics’ OLED A1 and G1 models did not change after the last $100 price reduction in January and the C1 model has maintained the price of $1800 since October 2021. The price of LG Electronics’ QNED90UP did not change and the QNED99UP maintained a price of $2500, down $200 from its launch price.

Sony’s XR65A80J, which had dropped to $1800 in October 2021, recovered to $2000 in December and has maintained it until March. The XR65A90J has been steadily dropping in price since December 2021, forming a price of $3000 in March.

 

Samsung Display Expands its Business from Smartphones to OLED for IT

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According to UBI Research’s published quarterly report, “1Q22 Medium & Large OLED Display Market Track”, mid-to-large OLED sales in the fourth quarter of 2021 was up 29.1% (QoQ) from the previous quarter at $2.2 billion and up by 76.9% (YoY) from the same period of the previous year.

Although Samsung Display leads the way in the OLED market for mobile devices, LG Display overwhelming dominates the mid to large-sized OLED market.

Of the $2.2 billion in mid to large-sized sales in the fourth quarter of 2021, LG Display’s sales was a massive $1.84 billion, accounting for 83.6% of the market.

By application product, OLED for TVs accounted for 85% of the market with $1.87 billion and OLED for notebook sales accounted for 8.8% of the market at $193 million.

Samsung Display began shipping QD-OLED for TVs and monitors from December 2021.

LG Display announced that it will begin supplying improved OLED EX panels of OLED panels for TV from 2022. LG Display plans to complete preparations for OLED EX production in Paju and Guangzhou by the first quarter of 2022. LG Display has negotiated with Samsung Electronics to supply OLED panels for TVs but no final decisions have been made.

Samsung Display is expanding its OLED business from smartphones to IT applications such as notebooks and tablet PCs.  UBI Research predicted the larger than 10-inches, mid-to-large OLED market after 5 years.  The TV market, which accounts for 83.5% in 2022, will decrease to 62.1% in 2026. However, the IT market is expected to expand.

“1Q22 Medium & Large OLED Display Market Track” provides data analysis for 10-inches or larger, mid-to-large OLED by examining the current status of OLED production capacity, major panel makers, shipments by application, and sales performance.

In addition, this analysis provides information for major product lines such as automotives, note PCs, monitors, and TVs by evaluating detailed quarterly shipments, sales performances, ASP by application, and OLED supply and demand analysis by application. It projects the market for the next 5 years.

[China Trend Report] Honor Magic4 Series, Panel Supply from BOE and Visionox

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According to the ‘China Trend Report’ published by UBI Research, Honor, a Chinese smartphone manufacturer, announced Magic4 and Magic4 Pro at MWC 2022 held on February 28th.

Both products are 6.81 inches in size. Magic4 has a resolution of 1224×2664 and Magic4 Pro has a resolution of 1312×2848. The peak brightness of both products is 1,000nits and the refresh rate is 120Hz. LTPO TFT and 1,920Hz high frequency PWM dimming technology are applied.

The display panel is supplied by Chinese panel makers BOE and Visionox. The DDIC is supplied by Taiwanese IC chip maker Novatek. BOE supplies panels of three models: Magic4, Magic4 Pro, and Magic4 Pro plus. Visionox supplies panels of two models, Magic4 and Magic4 Pro.

Detailed mass production line and quantity estimation of Honor Magic4 series are included in ‘China Trend Report’. The ‘China Trend Report’ provides various information on the Chinese display industry trends, such as the latest issues of major Chinese display companies, line trends and shipments, equipment disclosures by company, and introduction of new products in China. The report can be inquired on the UBI Research website.

Simbeyond enters new phase of growth with investor and partner ECFG

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Eindhoven, 25 February 2022. ECFG has acquired a minority share in Simbeyond through Eindhoven Venture Capital Fund II (EVCF II). Simbeyond has developed simulation software (Bumblebee) that can very accurately measure the effects of OLED materials at the device level. This is the first financing round for Simbeyond. The financing will be used to accelerate company growth (R&D and sales organization).

 

The software

Simbeyond offers a software tool, Bumblebee. The software tool is a computer simulation for the use of materials in the engineering process of OLED materials. The current process is often based on trial & error, which means that this is expensive and involves time-consuming and experimental efforts. The software is developed for companies that want to simulate the effects of organic light-emitting or light-emitting diodes at the device level. Customers include research & development (R&D) companies and departments of large tech companies and other relevant R&D institutes (such as universities). The unique approach allows customers to analyze, predict and improve device performance. This leads to a shorter time-to-market and to reduced R&D costs for the electronic devices of today and tomorrow.

Investment objectives

Simbeyond is a technology-driven organization. The past few years have mainly been dominated by product development. The goal in this new growth phase for Simbeyond is to become the preferred supplier of organic materials simulation software for the high-tech industry. Additionally, two more application areas will be materialized into an expansion of the current product line: batteries and nanolithography.

Cooperation

“Simbeyond is entering a new growth phase with ambitious goals and a drive for new opportunities. This investment and collaboration mean not only securing the resources to become the number one simulation tool in the OLED market, but also taking a step forward into new products,” said Siebe van Mensfoort, CEO of Simbeyond.

Hans Bloemen of ECFG: “To measure is to know and Simbeyond does that in its purest form. Bumblebee is only just getting ready to really enter the market. It now needs the right commercial attention with the most suitable profession. The investment ensures that this step towards growth can be realized. In addition to further developing the current market, a step can also be taken in a new market, battery technology. Together we hope to bring this technical gem to fruition.”

About ECFG | Ecfg.nl

ECFG is an independent fund manager that advises, guides and invests in SME companies active in the business-to-business segment. The activities are primarily aimed at strategically and financially supporting innovative, sustainable and promising companies. The broad entrepreneurial investor base and relevant network also offer additional added value. Since the start of ECFG in 2008 and has guided more than 400 entrepreneurs and companies in business development, financing and strategy and realized more than 30 participations. ECGF operates in line with the 17 Sustainable Development Goals. The ECFG team consists of fourteen people and is located in the center of Eindhoven.

About Simbeyond | simbeyond.com

Simbeyond is a simulation software company which accelerates development of advanced materials and high-tech devices as used in state-of-the-art display, lighting and signage applications. Organic electronics, such as the organic light-emitting diode (OLED) displays of present-day smartphones, paves the way for mechanically flexible electronics. The unique approach provided allows customers to analyze, predict and improve device performance. This leads to a shorter time-to-market and to reduced R&D costs for the electronic devices of today and tomorrow. Simbeyond was founded in 2015, as a spin-off launched by the Technical University of Eindhoven (TU/e). The company is located in Eindhoven and its team consists of thirteen people.

 

More information

Simbeyond | Polina Vasilkovska | Simbeyond |  marketing@simbeyond.com

ECFG |  Silvia Dekkers | +31 6 288 30 330 | communicatie@ecfg.nl

[China Trend Report] Significant Reduction of BOE’s Panel Supply to Apple in February and March due to Touch IC Supply Issue

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According to the ‘China Trend Report’ published by UBI Research, BOE B11 (Mianyang) plant is experiencing difficulties in supplying quantities to Apple due to the supply and demand problem of Touch IC. The report analyzed that BOE’s shipments to Apple have decreased significantly due to the supply and demand problem of Touch IC. As a result, shipments are expected to fall far short of the 2022 target set by BOE.

Along with the Touch IC supply issue, the overall shipments of major Chinese panel makers are also on the decline. According to the report, the total shipment of OLED panels for smartphones in China in January this year was 12.7 million units, a decrease of 27% compared to 17.4 million units in December last year.

The ‘China Trend Report’ provides various information on China’s display industry trends. It covers the latest issues of major Chinese panel makers, including BOE’s reduced shipments to Apple, line trends and shipments, equipment disclosures, and new product lists. The report can be inquired on the UBI Research website.

Foldable Phones Predicted to Exceed 100 Million Units by 2026

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According to UBI Research’s “1Q22 Small OLED Display Market Track” Small OLED Display (10-inches or smaller watch, smartphone, foldable phone, etc.) shipment in 2021 was 746 million, a 34.4% increase from the previous year’s 555 million. The reason for the increase in shipments compared to 2020 can be attributed to the increased sales of iPhone 12, iPhone13, and the unexpectedly strong sales of Galaxy Z’s Fold 3 and Flip 3.

Compared to the previous year, Small OLED sales in 2021 was up from $26.5 billion to $38.1 billion, a 43.9% increase.

Graphs are categorized by application product; Watch, Smartphone, Foldable Phone.

Since 2019, foldable phones have been on an upward trend. The market for foldable phones in 2021 exceeded 10 million units, accounting for 1.4% of all small displays. It is predicted that foldable phones’ yearly upward trend will result in exceeding 100 million units by 2026, accounting for 9.7% of all small displays.

“1Q 2022, Small OLED Display Market Track” analyzes the production capacity for 10-inches or smaller OLED Displays. Quarterly sales market and shipment market were investigated by these categories; major panel makers, country, generation, substrate, TFT technology (LTPO and LTPS), and by application products (watch, smartphone, foldable phone).

An analysis of ASP and OLED supply/demand by application is also provided. Small OLED Display market forecast data is predicted until 2026 on Excel.

 

[UBI Research China Trend Report] Chinese Panel Makers’ Total Shipments of OLED Panels for Smartphones in the Fourth Quarter of 2021 Increased by 26% Compared to the Third Quarter

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26% Increase in Total Shipments of Chinese OLED Panels for Smartphones in the Fourth Quarter compared to the Third Quarter

 

According to UBI Research’s ‘February 1st China Trend Report’, total shipments of OLED panels for smartphones by Chinese panel makers in the fourth quarter of 2021 were 44.8 million units, a 26% increase from 35.57 million units in the previous quarter. By company, BOE shipped 20.9 million units and occupied a 46.7% share, followed by Visionox with 9.7 million units, EverDisplay Optronics with 5.5 million units, CSOT with 5.5 million units, and Tianma with 3.1 million units.

 

By substrate, flexible OLED panel shipments were the highest for BOE with 20.9 million units, followed by CSOT with 5.5 million units, Visionox with 4.7 million units, and Tianma with 3 million units. BOE’s panel shipments increased the most compared to the previous quarter with an increase of 5.3 million units, followed by Visionox by 1.9 million units and Tianma by 1 million units. CSOT’s panel shipments decreased by 300,000 units from the previous quarter.

In the field of rigid OLED panel shipments, EverDisplay Optronics shipped 5.54 million units, a decrease of 80,000 units compared to the third quarter, but maintained the No. 1 position in rigid OLED panel shipments with a market share of 52%. Visionox, in second place, shipped 5.04 million units, up 43% QoQ, chasing EverDisplay Optronics. Tianma’s rigid OLED panel shipments were 120,000 units, accounting for only 1%.

The details can be found in the ‘UBI Research China Trend Report’, and inquiries can be made on the UBI Research website.

China Aims for the Foldable Phone Market with Multiple Foldable Phone Launches

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Samsung Electronics widely successful release of its foldable phones, Galaxy Z Fold 3 and Flip 3 last year has risen expectations for establishing foldable phones into the mainstream. Chinese companies such as Huawei, Xiaomi, Oppo are also releasing multiple foldable phones.

As the first foldable phone in China, Huawei has been releasing the Mate X series every year since its launch in 2019. The Mate X and the Mate Xs released in 2020 are 8 inches in size and folds outward. The external display is 6.6 inches with a resolution of 1148×2480 and an aspect ratio of 19.5:9.

Mate X2 was introduced in February 2021 with 8 inches for the internal display and the external display is 6.45 inches OLED with a resolution of 1160 x 2700 and an aspect ratio of 21:9. Colorless PI was applied to the cover window. Mate X2 folds inward instead of Mate X’s outward folding display.

P50 Pocket released in December 2021 is a clamshell phone similar to the Samsung Flip 3. The internal display is 6.9 inches with 120Hz refresh rate and an aspect ratio of 21:9. The cover window is 1.1 inches circular type.

Honor released a foldable phone, Magic V on January 10th 2022.

The internal display is 8 inches with 90Hz refresh rate and the external display is 6.5 inches with 120Hz refresh rate. The cover window is colorless PI. Both internal and external panels are made in BOE B11(Mianyang) line. The initial production is estimated to be 50,000 and the estimated total production volume is 100,000 to 200,000.

According to the sales result, the Visionox panel might be applied to the product.

Vivo is about to release a new foldable, the NEX FOLD. Vivo filed patents for NEX FOLD, NEX ROLL, and NEX SLIDE.

NEX fold’s internal display is 8.03 inches with QHD 120Hz and the external display is 6.53 inches with FHD 120Hz. Both internal and external display has the same refresh rate. The display panel is Samsung Display’s LTPO, and the cover window is planned to be 30 um thickness UTG.

It is planned to be released in March 2022, but no official announcement has been made.

Source: GSMArena.com, LETSGODISITAL, UBI Research DB

Samsung Display is using UTG(Ultra Thin Glass) for the cover window and most Chinese panel companies are using Colorless PI. Many Chinese companies are introducing foldable phones, but durability issues are reported on many social network media posts. Chinese panel makers still have much to go in terms of quality in technology and production cost when compared to Samsung Display.

 

SDC, 4Q2021 The Highest Smartphone Shipments 125 million units, Highest market share of flexible OLED 50.1%

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According to UBI Research Weekly Report, Samsung Display’s OLED shipped 480 million units in 2021. The highest number of shipments were in the 4th quarter at 133 million units and the second highest was in the in 3rd quarter at 129 million units.

Samsung Display OLED application products shipped in 2021 were smartphones, watches, tablet PCs notebooks and TVs. OLED for TVs started shipment in the fourth quarter of last year. It was the first OLED for TV shipment in eight years since 2013 when they had discontinued mass production.

Samsung Display OLED for smartphones shipped 456 million units, which was 94% of the total shipments. OLED for watches shipped 14 million units, just 2.9% of the total shipments.

OLED for notebooks had the most significant growth in 2021. 5 million units were shipped, representing a 2.5 times higher growth than the 1.9 million Tablet PC units shipped.

According to a quarterly analysis of Samsung Display smartphones shipments in 2021, 125 million units were shipped in the fourth quarter, showing the highest performance. This is mainly due to high shipments to Apple in the fourth quarter for OLED for iPhone. In 2021, 102 million units of OLED for iPhone were shipped and 45.4 million units were supplied to Apple in the fourth quarter. Therefore, the market share was the highest at 50.1% in the fourth quarter for flexible OLED shipments.

Flexible OLED and rigid OLED shipments were 190 million units and 257 million units respectively in 2021. The annual shipment market share was 41.6% and 56.5% respectively. Foldable OLED shipments were 8.7 million units, a market share of 1.9%.

LG Display Achieves Record Sales in 2021, Swinging a Profit after Three Years

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As LG Display posted the highest sales ever, at the same time it also made a sharp pivot into a profit for the first time in three years. On the 26th, LG Display announced that it had achieved annual sales of 29.878 trillion won and operating profit of 2.23 trillion won in 2021. “This is the result of the large-sized OLED panels in the premium market, the strengthening of the small and medium-sized OLED business base, and the innovation of LCD structures centered on IT products,” LG Display goes on the explain. While the overall TV market experienced negative growth last year, LG Display led the large-sized OLED business. OLED TV panel shipments grew by more than 70% compared to the previous year, which turned to profit in the second half of the year. This helped reach a break-even point.

Following the previous year’s earnings announcement, LG Display stated, “This year, we plan to expand profitability in stages based on shipment growth of more than 20% compared to the previous year and strengthened business capabilities,” and “From the second quarter, ‘OLED.EX’ will be applied to all OLED TV panel series to accelerate the trend toward OLED in the premium TV market.” OLED.EX is a TV panel that increases screen brightness (luminance) by 30% and reduces bezel by 30% by applying ‘deuterium technology’ and ‘personalization algorithm’ to organic light emitting devices. These are the core elements of OLED picture quality. In the case of small and medium-sized OLEDs, the mobile sector plans to improve profitability by expanding new models and high-end products in the second half of the year and expand to the overall mobility industry. The LCD division will continue its strategy of selection and concentration focusing on IT products.

LG Display also expressed confidence in Samsung Display, which has emerged as a new competitor in the OLED market. When asked about LG Display’s competitiveness compared to Samsung Display’s QD-OLED, Large-Scale Marketing Manager Lee Tae-Jong remarked, “Our competitor’s products have not been released yet, so an accurate comparison will be possible only after the actual launch.” He continued, ”LG Display, which has been in business for more than 10 years is far superior in our overall competitiveness in our products and cost, economies of scale, and customers. We will continue to widen the gap in the future.”

Analysis of 65-inch Premium TV Price Trend in 2021

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Analysis of 65-inch Premium TV Price Trend in 2021

This is an analysis for the 65-inch TV prices for Samsung Electronics’ QNED TV, LG Electronics’ OLED TV, and Sony’s OLED TV in 2021.

Samsung Electronics started with the 4K high-end models QN90A and the 8K models QN800A and QN900A. The entry-level models QN80A and QN85A were released sequentially. The 4K models QN90A, QN85A, and QN80A were priced at $2,600, $2,200, and $1,700 respectively. The 8K models QN900A and QN800A were priced at $5,000 and $3,500.

Starting with the high-end model G1, LG Electronics launched the entry-level models A1 and C1 models. The launch prices were $3,000, $2,300, and $2,000 for the G1, C1, and A1, respectively.

Sony launched two models, the XR65A80J and XR65A90J. The starting price was $4,000 for the XR65A90J

In 2021, events such as the 2020 Tokyo Olympics and Black Friday played a major factor in aggressive marketing by companies.

Samsung Electronics’ 8K models QN900A and QN800A had two prices cuts, the first one for the Tokyo Olympics and then for Black Friday. In the end, the QN900A was lowered by $1,700 and QN800A by $800 than their launch prices. Similarly, the 4K models 90A cut its price by $700, the 85A by $800, and the 80A by $500 from the launch prices, forming an average price of $300 lower than LG Electronics’ comparable models.

LG Electronics’ TVs had also began marketing in June when they were affected by the Tokyo Olympics and averaged a $300 price cut on all their OLED products. In anticipation for Black Friday,  in October they lowered their prices by another $200 on average when compared to their launch prices.

Meanwhile, LG Electronics’ 8K QNED TV 65QNED99UP model was priced at $2,500, the lowest price among 8K models.

Finally, Sony’s XR65A80J model dropped to $1,800 in November, which was a $1,000 price cut from the launch price, but recovered its price to $2,000 in December. No price changes for the high-end model, the X65A90J other than one $200 price cut a month after its launch.

Chinese OLED smartphones released in 2021, 62% increase compared to 2020

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Of the total 226 OLED smartphones released in 2021, China released 175. This is an overwhelming 77.4% share in the market. Korea released 20, which is half of the 39 in 2020. The United States released 16 and other countries released 15.

By size, there were 218 products in the 6-inch range, accounting for 96.5% of the market share, indicating that 6-inch products have established themselves as mainstream. In addition, 3 products in the 8-inch range, 2 products in the 5-inch range and 7-inch range, and 1 product in the 4-inch range were released. All 7-inch and larger products were foldable.

By display design, the punch hole model was released at an overwhelming 173, followed by the notch model at 31, the narrow-bezel model at 15, the under display camera (UDC) and pop-up camera at 3 models each, and 1 product with a home button was released.

Finally, in the display area (D.A), which is the display area to the size of the smartphone, 194 products belonging to 80-90% accounted for 85.8% of the product, 29 products above 90% and 1 product under 80% were released. The home button is now gone, the notch design is reduced, and the average D.A. has increased due to the continuous launch of full-screen smartphones. The product with the highest D.A was 94.9%, which occupies the Honor’s Magic3 series.

 

 

Samsung Display’s QD-OLED applied to Sony’s TV and DELL’s monitor

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QD-OLED panels, which are being mass-produced from the second half of 2021 at Samsung Display, will be applied to new products for Sony and DELL.

First, Sony announced ‘A95K’, the first TV with QD-OLED in its 2022 TV lineup. A95K is available in 55-inch and 65-inch models, featuring 4K resolution and a refresh rate of 120 Hz.

<Sony’s QD-OLED TV ‘A95K’, Source: electronics.cony.com>

Meanwhile, Samsung Display’s QD-OLED is also applied to DELL’s 34-inch gaming monitor. DELL’s ‘Alienware AW3423DW’ monitor has a 34-inch size, 3440 x 1440 resolution, a refresh rate of 175 Hz, and a response speed of 0.1 ms. In addition, the monitor supports ‘DisplayHDR 400 True Black’. DELL said it will start selling around March 2022.

As Samsung Display’s QD-OLED enters the TV and IT markets, it is expected to compete fiercely with LG Display’s WRGB OLED and JOLED’s RGB inkjet printing technology in the existing mid-to-large market. Many have a huge interest as to which company’s technology will become the main technology in the mid- to large-sized market in the future.

 

 

OLED emitting materials market to grow to $ 1.71 billion in 2019

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OLED light emitting materials market is gradually increasing as Chinese companies enter OLED panel market led by Samsung Display and LG Display.

The 2019 OLED emitting material report, published by UBI Research, predicts that the emitting material market in 2019 will reach $ 1.17 billion. 2021 and 2023 are expected to grow to $ 1.87 billion and $ 2.0 billion, respectively.

The size of light emitting materials consumed by Korean companies will account for 70.2% in 2019 ($ 0.82 billion), and its share will increase to 75.6% in 2023.

Korea’s emitting material market is growing because the consumption of OLED materials for TVs is soaring. In 2019, 21.1% of light emitting materials for TVs are expected to increase to 49.7% in 2023.

[Press Release] AMOLED sales to reach USD 32.2 billion in 2019, up 13.8% from 2018

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UBI Research (CEO, Yi, Choonghoon) published the annual OLED report in 2019.

According to the report, the OLED market is expected to reach $ 32.2 billion in 2019 and 13.8% market growth. The market growth is due to the launch of a variety of applications in 2019. Foldable OLED will accelerate the growth of the flexible OLED market as a convergence product that fuses smartphones and tablet PCs, and 8K OLEDs and rollable OLEDs to be launched from 2H 2019 will further solidly support the premium OLED TV market. In addition, an increase in flexible OLED shipments due to improved yields by Chinese panel makers will support growth in the Chinese OLED market.

AMOLED revenue in the fourth quarter of 2018 was $ 7.9 billion, down 3.7% from $ 8.2 billion in the third quarter and down 10.4% from $ 8.8 billion in the fourth quarter of 2017. The quarterly OLED market was highly volatile due to sales fluctuations at Samsung Display.

Revenue in 2018 was $ 28.3 billion, up 7.1% from $ 26.4 billion in 2017. The growth slowed suddenly compared to growth of 58.7% in 2017. The sluggish growth is attributable to the sluggish OLED smartphone market, which drove the OLED market up until now. The OLED market for smartphones, which was worth $ 24.2 billion in 2017, was only $ 24.5 billion in 2018.

Flexible OLED panels are not being adopted in mid-end smartphones due to the high cost of manufacturing flexible OLED panels for smartphones. As a result, the oversupply will continue due to lack of demand compared to the 6G flexible OLED investment. In the fourth quarter of 2018, there was an oversupply of 31%. In the first quarter of 2019, oversupply will increase to 39% by overlapping seasonal demand decline.

UBI research just issued 2018 2Q AMOLED Display Market Tracks

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UBI Research recently published “2Q18 AMOLED Display Market Tracks”, which includes market updates of the second quarter of 2018. The report covers OLED display panel makers’ investment status, OLED display market forecasts from 2018 to 2022, OLED demand and supply trends, and competitiveness analysis of OLED Smartphone business for Samsung Display and other OLED display panel makers.

The market update, published with the Excel spreadsheet, describes the production line status and the added line status through future investments of the 15 OLED display panel makers worldwide. Also, it describes not only the major OLED application market such as smart phones and TVs, but also the market forecast by country.

The demand for OLED mobile sets (including smart phones and smart watches) in the first quarter of 2018 dropped to 98 million units from 130 million units in the fourth quarter of last year, due to the lower-than-expected performance of the premium smartphone market, where Samsung Electronics’ Galaxy S series and Apple’s iPhone occupy most of the market. OLED mobile set market is to recover gradually until 3Q, when Apple’s new smartphone model is launched, and by the end of 2018, the demand is expected to recover as to the similar level of the same period of last year. In addition, Samsung Display is anticipated to have a positive impact on the recovery of the Smartphone market in the second half of the year by securing competitiveness by lowering the sales price of rigid OLED panel for mobile phone to about US$ 25 to compete with LCD in China.

Consumers' smartphone replacement cycle is getting longer due to the reason that there is no revolutionary change in the new model compared to the past, and the Smartphone penetration in most of the countries except for India, South America and Africa is reaching the limit. Accordingly, the outlook for the downturn is mostly forecasted in the recent smartphone market. There is a growing interest in technology and design to apply a different form factor to revive the market. In this regard, Samsung Electronics' foldable OLED smartphone, which is scheduled to be released later this year or early next year, is expected to create a new momentum. Attention is focused on whether a folding- type flexible display (Dynamic Flexible Display) will be succeeded as a new type of smartphone from the existing edge-type flexible display (Static Flexible Display).

 

UBI Research predicts that the OLED Smartphone market will grow from 430 million units in 2018 to 900 million units in 2022, and the market for foldable OLED Smartphone is to be from about 1million units in 2019 to 18million units in 2022. This reflects the expansion of OLED panel production lines by panel makers such as LG Display and BOE, besides Samsung Display. It will be updated as new applications are developed in future and the Smartphone market moves forward.

In OLED panel market, OLED panel for Smartphone still occupies 91% of the whole market. Samsung Display has accounted for 90% of total OLED panel market performance and LG Display is followed with about 7.8% share.

OLED TVs, which are continuously increasing in demand worldwide compared to the Smartphone market, are expected to be in short supply this year. LG Display, the only OLED TV panel supplier, will continue to invest in production for the next five years. With the recent approval of new production facility for OLED TV panel in Guangzhou, the full-scale equipment move-in is expected this year. In Paju P10 investment plan, it was confirmed that LG Display will invest in OLED TV panel production line instead of LCD line investment which was examined before. Thus, the OLED TV market is projected to grow to US $ 5.6 billion.

TV向け第8世代QD-OLEDへの投資額は？

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最近、UBI Researchが発行した『AMOLED製造・検査装置産業レポート』では、Samsung Displayが開発を始めたQD-OLEDへの投資額がどれくらいなのかを分析した。

Samsung Displayが目指しているQD-OLEDは、青色OLEDから放出される光が量子ドット（Quantum Dot、QD）材料を通って緑色と赤色に分離され、RGBの3色を実現する方式で製造される。QD材料を通り抜けた光は、再びカラーフィルターを通り、さらに豊かな色を表現できるようになる。

このようなQD-OLEDの製造方式は、LG DisplayのWRGB OLEDと似ている部分が多い。まず、TFTは2社ともにOxide TFTを使用している。WRGB OLEDは青色が2回塗布され、その間に赤色と緑色が蒸着される。それに比べ、QD-OLEDは青色材料のみ2回蒸着して製造される。蒸着用マスクは、両方ともオープンマスク（Open Mask）を使用する。

 

 

QD-OLEDとWRGB OLEDのカラーフィルターの製造費は同様であると考えられるが、QD-OLEDの場合、QD材料をコーティングする装置を追加導入しなければならない。

本レポートによると、モジュールとセル、封止、蒸着装置は、同じ装置が使用される可能性があり、投資額もほぼ同様になると予想される。しかし、WRGB OLEDは背面発光方式のため、TFTを含めたバックプレーンを製造する際に同時に形成される反面、QD-OLEDは前面発光方式のため、上部のガラス基板にカラーフィルターを個別に形成し、その上に再度QD層をパターニングして製造する。その結果、QD-OLEDにはWRGB OLEDより高い投資額が必要となる。

第8世代の26Kを基準に投資額を計算してみると、QD-OLEDは11億米ドルで、10億7,000万米ドルのWRGB OLEDに比べて1.03倍高くなることが見込まれる。一方、JOLEDが事業化を進めている印刷方式OLEDの製造に必要な投資額は8億8,000万米ドルで、QD-OLEDの80%程度になるとみられる。

 

Daejeong Yoon(ydj7211@ubiresearch.com)

 

Samsung Display’s 1Q 2018 shipment declined, but it is expected to recover in 2Q.

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According to UBI Research’s first quarter display market track, Samsung Display’s OLED shipments for smart phones dropped to 88 million units, down 26.0% from the previous quarter, and 4.7% year-on-year decrease.

On the other hand, the sales revenue was US$ 5.37 billion, down 32.4% from the previous quarter and 30.4% year-on- year increase.

<Samsung Display’s sales performance of OLED for Smartphone, 1Q, 2018>

For rigid OLED, the utilization rate of rigid OLED mass production lines dropped in 1Q due to the keeping adoption of LCD in Samsung Electronics’ entry-level model and the decline in demand from Chinese set makers. For flexible OLED, its capacity utilization rate also declined due to falling demand from Apple and sluggish sales of Galaxy S series .

UBI Research mentioned, “In the first quarter of 2018, the sales were sluggish due to falling demand of set makers; however, the full-screen rigid OLED demand began to increase in April, and accordingly the utilization rate of rigid OLED production lines began to rise gradually. From June, the utilization rate is expected to recover to the previous year level. Also, the flexible OLED mass production lines will be likely to be in full operation since Samsung Electronics will start mass production of the next model and Apple will start mass production of new models.”

The overall OLED market was totaled as US $ 6.12 billion in the first quarter of 2018, of which the OLED market for smart phones was 91.1% and the market of OLED for TV was 5.7%.

The OLED market for smartphones is projected to reach 4.4 billion units in 2018, and Samsung Display is expected to hold a market share of 93.4%.

<2018 OLED market forecast>

Samsung Display’s 1Q 2018 shipment declined, but it is expected to recover in 2Q.

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According to UBI Research’s first quarter display market track, Samsung Display’s OLED shipments for smart phones dropped to 88 million units, down 26.0% from the previous quarter, and 4.7% year-on-year decrease.

On the other hand, the sales revenue was US$ 5.37 billion, down 32.4% from the previous quarter and 30.4% year-on- year increase.

<Samsung Display’s sales performance of OLED for Smartphone, 1Q, 2018>

For rigid OLED, the utilization rate of rigid OLED mass production lines dropped in 1Q due to the keeping adoption of LCD in Samsung Electronics’ entry-level model and the decline in demand from Chinese set makers. For flexible OLED, its capacity utilization rate also declined due to falling demand from Apple and sluggish sales of Galaxy S series .

UBI Research mentioned, “In the first quarter of 2018, the sales were sluggish due to falling demand of set makers; however, the full-screen rigid OLED demand began to increase in April, and accordingly the utilization rate of rigid OLED production lines began to rise gradually. From June, the utilization rate is expected to recover to the previous year level. Also, the flexible OLED mass production lines will be likely to be in full operation since Samsung Electronics will start mass production of the next model and Apple will start mass production of new models.”

The overall OLED market was totaled as US $ 6.12 billion in the first quarter of 2018, of which the OLED market for smart phones was 91.1% and the market of OLED for TV was 5.7%.

The OLED market for smartphones is projected to reach 4.4 billion units in 2018, and Samsung Display is expected to hold a market share of 93.4%.

<2018 OLED market forecast>

삼성디스플레이 1사분기 출하실적 하락, 2사분기 회복 전망

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유비리서치의 1사분기 디스플레이 마켓트랙에 따르면 삼성디스플레이의 스마트폰용 OLED 출하량은 전분기 대비 26.0%, 전년대비 4.7% 감소한 8,800만개로 집계되었다.

반면 매출액은 전분기 대비 32.4% 감소, 전년대비 30.4% 증가한 53.7억 달러로 집계되었다.

<1사분기 삼성디스플레이 스마트폰용 OLED 실적>

Rigid OLED는 삼성전자의 보급형에 LCD 채택 유지와 중국 set업체의 수요감소로 rigid OLED 양산라인 가동률이 1사분기에 하락하였으며, flexible OLED도 Apple의 수요감소와 Galaxy S series의 실적 부진으로 가동률이 감소하였다.

유비리서치에 따르면 “1사분기는 set 업체들의 수요 감소로 실적이 저조하였지만, 4월부터 full screen rigid OLED 수요 증가로 rigid OLED 양산라인 가동률이 점차 상승하기 시작하였다. 6월부터는 전년수준으로 가동률이 회복될 것으로 예상된다. 또한 flexible OLED 양산라인에서도 삼성전자의 차기모델 조기 양산과 Apple의 신모델 양산이 시작되어 다시 풀가동을 할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.” 라고 밝혔다.

OLED 전체 시장은 2018년 1사분기 61.2억 달러로 집계되었으며, 이중 스마트폰용 OLED 시장은 91.1% 대면적 OLED 시장은 5.7%로 집계되었다.

2018년 스마트폰용 OLED 시장 예상규모는 4.4억개로 전망되며 삼성디스플레이가 93.4%의 점유율을 차지할 것으로 전망된다.

<2018년도 업체별 스마트폰용 OLED 출하 점유율 전망>

상반기 OLED 시장 결산과 주요 기술 분석

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OLED 시장조사 전문 리서치 업체인 유비리서치는 오는 6월 28일(목) 서울 코엑스 컨퍼런스룸 3층에서  ‘상반기 OLED 시장 결산과 주요 기술 분석 세미나’를 개최한다.

2018년 상반기 OLED 시장을 결산을 통해 주요 이슈를 되짚어 보고 OLED 산업을 투자, 경제 관점으로 분석하여 2018년 하반기 시장과 기술을 전망하는 자리가 될 것이다.

또한 이번 세미나는 차세대 OLED 기술로 각광받고 있는 OLED 조명, Stretchable, wearable, AR/VR, Micro LED 등 관련분야 핵심 전문가분들을 모시고 OLED 미래 기술이 어떻게 전개될 것인지를 미리 확인해 볼 수 있는 자리가 될 것으로 예상된다.

세미나의 주제는 △’ 2018 상반기 프리미엄 TV시장 이슈와 전망’ △’2018 상반기 OLED 스마트폰 시장 이슈와 전망’ △ ‘폴더블 스마트폰과 BLUE TV 시장 전망’ △’차세대 OLED 어플리케이션인 스트레처블, 웨어러블 등’ △’가상 증강 현실 기기와 오토모티브 응용 현황 및 전망 ’ △ ‘마이크로 LED 기술 동향 및 전망’ △ ‘OLED 조명 기술 동향 및 전망’ 등의 발표가 예정되어 있다.

이번 세미나는 빠르게 진화하는 디스플레이 시장의 전망과 기술 트랜드를 예측하여 업체들의 시장 현황과 기술 변화를 파악하는데 큰 도움이 될 것으로 기대하고 있다.

Changes in OLED panel market for smartphones

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According to the ‘2018 1Q AMOLED Display Market Track’ published by UBI Research, OLED panel shipments for smartphones are projected to grow at an annual average growth rate of 15.8%, from 450 million units in 2018 to 850 million units by 2022. This is a 9.6% decline from the CAGR 25.4% expected in the fourth quarter of 2017.

<Shipment forecast of OLED panel for smartphones >

The reason shipment forecast of OLED panels for smartphones is declined compared with 4Q,2017 is because smartphone trends have been reflected recently. The smartphone market is sluggish due to the prolonged replacement period of smartphones and the lack of new technology. In addition, the average size of smartphones has enlarged faster than expected, and the size of smartphones is expected to increase gradually with the anticipation for the launch of foldable OLEDs, leading to a slowdown in the shipment growth.

 

For flexible OLED, ASPs have risen due to the lack of supply, caused by mainly dependent on Samsung Display, and Chinese set makers are burdened by its high prices. As low-priced full-screen LCDs are emerging, it is forecasted that demand for rigid OLEDs will decline since Chinese set makers are adopting more LCDs than OLEDs in rigid smartphones.

Panel makers in Korea and China have aggressively invested in the Gen6 OLED line in 2016 and 2017. Starting this year, however, they are reviewing the investment and operation time frame of mass production lines, with looking into the smartphone demand. As OLED panels for smartphones account for more than 90% of the total OLED panel market, it is an important factor for the investment flow of panel makers.

 

Meanwhile, ‘2018 1Q AMOLED Display Market Track’ is based on the market performance data and projected system that UBI Research has accumulated over 15 years. It consists of 8 (eight) modules in total: Panel cost analysis, Market forecast, Supply and demand analysis, Market performance (sales), Competitiveness analysis of panel makers, ASP, Supply chain analysis and investment & Mass production line status.

스마트폰용 OLED panel 시장의 변화

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유비리서치가 발간한 ‘2018년 1분기 AMOLED Display Market Track’에 따르면 스마트폰용 OLED panel 출하량은 2018년 4.7억대 시장에서 2022년까지 8.5억대 시장을 성장하여 연평균 성장률 15.8%를 기록할 것으로 전망했다. 이는 2017년 4분기에 전망한 연평균 성장률 25.4%보다 9.6% 감소한 것이다.

<스마트폰용 OLED panel 출하량 전망>

유비리서치가 전망한 스마트폰용 OLED panel의 출하량 규모가 2017년 4분기 대비 감소한 이유는 최근 스마트폰 트렌드가 반영되었기 때문이다. 스마트폰의 교체 주기가 길어지고, 신기술 부족 등으로 스마트폰 시장은 정체 되어 있다. 또한, 스마트폰의 평균 사이즈는 예상보다 빠르게 증가하였고, foldable OLED 출시 예상 등으로 추후에도 사이즈가 점차 증가할 것으로 예상됨에 따라 출하량 시장 성장세는 둔화될 것으로 전망된다.

그 밖에 flexible OLED는 Samsung Display에 의존된 공급 부족으로 인하여 ASP가 상승하였고, 중국 set 업체들은 flexible OLED의 높은 가격때문에 채용에 부담을 가지고 있다. 낮은 가격의 full-screen LCD가 등장함에 따라 중국 set 업체들은 rigid 스마트폰에 OLED보다는 LCD를 적용하려는 추세가 증가하여 rigid OLED의 수요가 감소될 것으로 분석된다.

한국과 중국의 panel 업체들은 2016년과 2017년에 Gen6 OLED 라인에 공격적인 투자가 진행했다. 하지만 올해부터는 스마트폰 수요 상황을 살피며 양산 라인 가동 시점과 투자에 대한 재검토를 진행하고 있다. 스마트폰용 OLED panel은 전체 OLED panel 시장의 90% 이상을 차지하고 있기 때문에 panel 업체들의 투자 움직임에 중요한 요소이다.

한편, ‘2018년 1분기 AMOLED Display Market Track’은 유비리서치가 15년간 축적한 시장 실적과 예상 시스템을 바탕으로 패널 실적, 미래 시장 전망, 수요공급 분석, 패널 업체 경쟁력 분석, 서플라이 체인 분석, 패널 제조비용 분석, 투자 상황분석, 패널 가격 분석, ASP 총 8개의 모듈로 구성되어 있다.

유비리서치 OLED 최신기술 동향 세미나 개최

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  • 최근 폴더블OLED와 solution processed OLED, 대면적 blue OLED, Micro LED, 양자점(Quantum Dots)등 가장 이슈가 되고 있는 차세대 디스플레이 관련 기술 및 전망 발표
  • 다양한 디스플레이 소재 기술에 관한 연구 및 주요 기술 동향 발표

유비산업리서치(http://www.ubiresearch.co.kr/, 대표 이충훈)는 오는 4월 26일(목) 서울 코엑스 전시장 3층 Hall E에서 ‘OLED 최신기술 동향 세미나’를 개최 할 예정이다.

CES2018에서 삼성디스플레이는 blue OLED에 quantum dot와 color filter를 사용한 새로운 구조의 OLED 패널을 공개했다. 이 구조의 OLED는 삼성디스플레이의 현재 사업인 모바일용 디스플레이가 아닌 TV용 대면적 OLED제작을 위한 패널이다.

삼성디스플레이가 blue-OLED 개발에 착수하기 위해 대규모 개발팀을 신설한 것은 LG디스플레이가 독보적으로 차지하고 있는 대면적 OLED 패널 사업에 진입하기 위한 사전 포석 단계로 볼 수 있다. 이번 세미나에서는 삼성디스플레이가 최근 공개한 계획인 blue-OLED의 사업화 가능성과 LG 디스플레이의 WRGB OLED와 비교하여 어떤 기술인지를 집중적으로 분석해 보고자 한다. 이를 위해 가장 중요한 해결 과제인blue OLED용 청색 발광 재료 개발 현황과 blue OLED용 quantum dot 재료 개발 현황을 면밀히 분석하여 전망할 예정이다.

또한 대면적 OLED 패널 이슈와 함께 모바일에서 새로운 Application에 대한 가능성으로 제시되고 있는 폴더블OLED개발 현황과 시장을 전망한다. 이를 통해 올초 계획인 2018년 연말 폴더블 OLED 스마트폰 출시와 관련한 다양한 예상이 가능할 것으로 기대한다.

그 이외에 또 다른 대면적 디스플레이 기술로서 이슈화되고 있는 solution processed OLED와 Micro LED등 차세대 디스플레이 기술 현황과 개발 이슈 사항 등을 다룰 예정이다.

이번 세미나는 빠르게 진화하는 디스플레이 시장의 기술 트랜드를 예측하여 업체들의 시장현황과 기술 변화를 파악하는데 큰 도움이 될 것으로 기대하고 있다.

금번 세미나의 세부 주제들로는 △’ OLED 스마트폰과 폴더블 폰 시장 전망’ △’OLED TV 프리미엄 시장 확대를 위한 핵심 기술 과제 – Solution Process OLED 가능성’ △ ‘폴딩 1R 구현을 위한 핵심기술 과제 – TFT, 기판, 인캡등’ △’BLUE OLED + QDCF TV 를 위한 핵심 기술 과제 : QD재료’ △’OLED TV용 Oxide TFT’ △ ‘OLED 청색 발광 재료 기술 동향 및 전망’ △ ‘Micro LED 프리미엄 TV 제조공정을 위한 핵심 기술 과제 등의 주제 발표가 예정되어 있다.

AMOLED Display Market Track, just issued – Market Performance, Market Forecast, ASP, Supply and Demand Analysis

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According to the market performance data of the AMOLED Display Market Track published by UBI Research in February 2018, total AMOLED shipments and sales in 2017 were recorded as 440 million units and US$ 27.1 billion, up 13.6% and 62.3% respectively, compared to the previous year.

The number of AMOLED smart phone shipments grew to 95.1% in the total AMOLED market in 2017, and its market share for the revenue was 89.7%. The number of shipments of flexible AMOLEDs reached 140 million units in 2017, increased by 2.1 times compared to the previous year.  Analysis shows that shipments of flexible AMOLEDs will reach 230 million units by 2018, with a share of 46%.

AMOLED shipments for TVs grew by 1.8 times YoY to 1.72 million units in 2017, and the AMOLED market for TV is expected to continue to grow, as LG Display’s 8 G plant in China is scheduled to start operation from 2H 2019.

<Overall AMOLED Market Forecast>

From 2018, AMOLED market is forecasted to change significantly.

In terms of supply, shipments of displays are projected to decline compared to the global capacity of display makers due to the accelerated increase in the size of AMOLED panels and Samsung Display’s shift of rigid AMOLED lines into automotive and foldable applications.

In terms of demand, the demand growth for AMOLED panels for smartphones is expected to decrease. In 2018, demand for flexible AMOLED panels for Chinese set makers is expected to decrease due to the introduction of low-priced full screen LCDs and rising prices of flexible AMOLED panels.

According to the market forecast data of AMOLED Display Market Track, the total AMOLED shipment market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 17.5%, reaching 995 million units in 2022. The revenue is projected to grow at a CAGR of 22%, forming a market of US$ 80.5 billion in 2022.

<Small and Medium sized AMOLED, Supply and Demand Analysis>

According to Yi Choong-Hoon, CEO of UBI Research, “20% oversupply is expected to occur by 2021, however, since then, panel prices have fallen due to the entry of Chinese panel makers into the flexible AMOLED market, and oversupply will decrease by 11% in 2022 “.

Meanwhile, AMOLED Display Market Track, which was published on February 12, 2018, covers AMOLED market performance and forecast by quarter, year and application. It also provides data and graphs analyzed in various aspects such as ASP and supply & demand analysis.

 

UBI Research, publishes ‘2018 OLED Panel Industry Report’, which analyzes the indicators of OLED industry in 2017

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UBI Research published ‘2018 OLED Panel Industry Report’ on February 12, 2018, which analyzes the indicators of OLED industry for the year of 2017.

This report seems very helpful to forecast OLED industry, which is most likely to become the main display in future, since it analyzes panel makers’ development trends, key issues, applied products, and relevant markets from various perspectives on rigid and flexible OLED as well as solution processed OLED.

In the report, the status of OLED products in 2017 is summarized into various applications such as smart phones and TVs, and the trends of newly released products and related issues can be identified.

According to the report, a full-screen smart phone, which has become a trend in recent years, can mainly be applied to flexible OLEDs, while rigid OLEDs using COG (chip on glass) are required to ensure module space at the top and bottom side. Therefore, it is expected that panel makers will implement full-screen as a notch type rather than a current rectangle type to improve the added value, and demand of rigid OLED, which is on the decrease.

Meanwhile, UBI Research predicts that shipment for rigid OLEDs will be 270 million units and that for flexible OLEDs will be 230 million units in 2018, generating sales of US$ 12.5 billion and US$ 23.9 billion, respectively.  Also, analysis shows that the solution process, capable of manufacturing large-area OLED panels with RGB structure without cutting mother glass at Gen 8 or higher generation, will be adopted at the mass-production from 2019. Consequently, 2 million units of solution processed OLED will be shipped in 2019 and 9.2 million units will be shipped in 2022.

<Flexible OLED shipment forecast>

 

유비리서치, 2017년 OLED 산업의 지표를 분석한 ‘2018 OLED Panel Industry Report’ 발간

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유비리서치는 2017년 한해 동안의 OLED 산업 지표를 분석한 ‘2018 OLED Panel Industry Report’를 지난 12일 발간하였다.

본 보고서는 rigid부터 flexible, solution process OLED 전반에 대해 panel 업체 개발 동향, 핵심 이슈, 적용 제품현황, 시장 등을 다양한 관점에서 분석하여, 향후 디스플레이의 주력이 될 OLED 산업을 전망하는데 도움이 될 것으로 예상된다.

보고서에는 2017년 OLED 적용 제품현황을 스마트폰과 TV 등 여러 어플리케이션으로 나누어 출시 흐름과 이에 따른 이슈를 확인할 수 있다.

보고서에 따르면, 최근 트렌드로 자리 잡고 있는 full-screen smart phone은 flexible OLED만 적용 가능하며, COG(chip on glass)방식이 적용되는 rigid OLED는 상∙하부에 모듈 공간을 확보해야 하기 때문에 적용이 어렵다고 설명했다. 따라서, panel 업체는 감소하는 rigid OLED의 수요와 부가가치를 향상시키기 위해 현재의 모양(rectangle)보다는 notch type으로써 full-screen을 구현할 것이라 전망했다.

한편, 유비리서치는 2018년에는 Rigid OLED가 2.7억 개, flexible OLED가 2.3억개 출하되어, 각각 125억 달러, 239억 달러의 매출액을 형성할 것으로 전망하였다. 또한, Gen8 이상에서 원장 분할 없이 RGB 구조의 대면적 OLED panel 제조가 가능한 solution process는 2019년부터 본격적으로 양산되어 2019년 20만 개, 2022년 920만 개의 solution process OLED가 출하될 것으로 분석하였다.

<Flexible OLED 출하량 전망>

AMOLED Display Market Track – Market Performance, Market Forecast, ASP, Supply and Demand Analysis 발간

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유비리서치가 2018년 2월에 발간한 AMOLED Display Market Track의 market performance 데이터에 따르면 2017년 전체 AMOLED 출하량은 4.4억 대, 매출액은 271억 달러로 전년 대비 각각 13.6%, 62.3% 증가한 것으로 집계되었다.

2017년 스마트폰용 AMOLED 출하량 점유율은 AMOLED 전체 시장에서 95.1%로 나타났으며, 매출액 점유율은 89.7%를 기록했다. 2017년 flexible AMOLED의 출하량은 전년 대비 약 2.1배 증가한 1.4억 대를 기록하였고, 2018년에는 flexible AMOLED의 출하량이 2.3억 대의 규모를 형성하며 점유율이 약 46%까지 증가할 것으로 분석 됐다.

2017년 TV용 AMOLED 출하량은 전년 대비 약 1.8배 증가한 172만 대를 기록하였으며, LG Display의 중국 8세대 공장이 2019년 하반기부터 가동될 것으로 예상되어 TV용 AMOLED 시장은 지속적인 성장을 보일 것으로 전망 된다.

<전체 AMOLED 시장 전망>

2018년부터는 AMOLED 시장에 큰 변화가 생길 것으로 전망된다.

공급측면에서는 스마트폰용 AMOLED panel의 size 증가 가속화와 Samsung Display rigid AMOLED 라인의 automotive와 foldable용 전환으로 전세계 디스플레이 업체의 생산능력 대비 출하량이 감소할 것으로 예상된다.

수요측면에서도 스마트폰용 AMOLED panel의 수요 증가 폭이 줄어들 것으로 전망된다. 2018년은낮은 가격의 full screen LCD의 등장과 flexible AMOLED panel 가격 상승으로 중국 set 업체들의 flexible AMOLED panel 수요가 감소할 전망이다.

 

AMOLED Display Market Track의 market forecast 데이터에 따르면 전체 AMOLED 출하량 시장은 2022년까지 연평균 17%로 성장하여 약 9.5억 대 규모가 될 것으로 예상되며, 매출액 시장은 2022년까지 연평균 22%로 성장하여 805억 달러 규모의 시장을 형성할 것으로 예상했다.

<중소형 AMOLED Supply and Demand Analysis>

유비리서치 이충훈대표에 의하면 “2021년까지 20%대의 공급과잉이 발생할 것으로 예상되지만 그 이후부터는 중국 패널 업체들이 Flexible AMOLED 시장에 진입함에 따라 패널 가격이 하락하여 2022년에는 공급과잉이 11%까지 감소할 것”이라고 전망했다.

 

한편, 2018년 2월에 발간된 AMOLED Display Market Track에서는 AMOLED 시장 실적과 전망을 분기별과 연도별, application별로 상세하게 다루고 있으며, ASP와 supply and demand analysis 등 다양한 측면에서 분석한 data와 그래프를 엑셀 형태로 제공하고 있다.

UBI Research, ‘2018 OLED KOREA Conference’ will be held on 7th to 8th of March

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OLED Korea Conference, the global OLED conference, will be held on 7th(Wed) to 8th(Thu) of March.

The 4th OLED Korea Conference will be held on the theme of ‘OLED with opportunity & adding value to your business’ at the Novotel Ambassador Hotel in Seoul, Korea for two days. It is expected to provide a platform for various information and exchange of opinions regarding presentation of each theme.

OLED industry, which is continuing to grow at a high rate is expected to surpass the LCD market share in the small and mid-sized market of this year.

According to UBI Research, the OLED research organization, small and medium-sized OLED panel shipments for mobile devices are expected to grow up to 6.3 billion won in this year, which is 53.2% growth compared to last year. On the other side, OLED panel shipments for TV is expected to grow up to about 2.4 million won which is 47.2% growth compared to last year.

In this conference, there will be presentations on the topic; ▲ View from Panel Makers about OLED Market ▲ Solution Process Technology, yet to come ▲ New Performance Development from Major SCMs ▲ New Technology Discussions for Next Generation Display or Better Process from global companies such as Microsoft, Boeing, Sony and leading companies such as 3M, Applied Materials, Corning, Cynora and OLED panel company, set company, material/device company, university/research institute as well as domestic and foreign experts of OLED display.

Also, UBI Research, Japan Mizuho Security and French market research institute ‘Yole development’ planned a lecture about the title of “Opinion from Business and Industry Analysts.”

Especially, Yoshihiro Ono, TV business manager from Sony will present about OLED TV launch for the first time in Sony, which was one of the biggest issues in OLED industry of 2017. The title is ‘Designs for BRAVIA OLED TV and Expectations for large screen OLED devices’ and contents are about adoption background, BRAVIA OLED TV development history and different points of OLED TV from other companies.

In the 4th OLED KOREA Conference which will show trends and developments of OLED industry, it is expected that more than 200 major domestic and foreign experts and industry workers will participate. This conference has received much attention as it is planned to provide opportunities for networking and continuous exchanges of relevant information and know-how. For more information, please visit www.oledkoreaconference.com.

유비리서치, ‘2018 OLED KOREA Conference’ 3월 7~8일 개최

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글로벌 OLED 컨퍼런스인 OLED Korea Conference가 3월 7일 (수)부터 8일 (목)까지 개최된다.

이번 제 4회 OLED Korea Conference는 양일간 서울 노보텔 앰베서더 호텔에서 ‘OLED with opportunity & adding value to your business’라는 테마로 진행되며, 주제별 발표와 함께 다양한 정보와 의견 교환의 장이 마련될 것으로 기대를 모으고 있다.

높은 성장세를 지속하고 있는 OLED 산업은 올해 중소형 시장에서 LCD의 점유율을 넘어서고 대형 TV 시장도 크게 성장 할 것으로 전망되고 있다. OLED 전문 조사기관인 유비리서치에 따르면, Mobile 기기용 중소형 OLED panel 출하량은 올해 6.3억대로 작년 대비 53.2% 성장하고 TV용 OLED panel 출하량은 약 240만대로 작년 대비 47.2% 성장할 것으로 예상하였다.

이번 컨퍼런스에서는 Microsoft, Boeing, Sony 등 글로벌 유명업체와 3M, Applied Materials, Corning, Cynora 등 선도 기업을 포함하여, OLED 패널 업체, set 업체, 재료/장비 업체, 대학/연구소 등 OLED display 관련 국내외 전문가 25명이 ▲ View from Panel Makers about OLED Market ▲ Solution Process Technology, yet to come ▲ New Performance Development from Major SCMs ▲ New Technology Discussions for Next Generation Display or Better Process라는 주제로 발표를 할 예정이다. 또한, 유비리서치와 일본 미즈호 증권, 프랑스 시장조사 업체 Yole development에서 ‘Opinion from Business and Industry Analysts’라는 제목으로 강연도 계획되어 있다.

특히 2017년 OLED 산업의 가장 큰 이슈 중 하나였던 Sony 최초의 OLED TV 출시에 대해 Sony의 Yoshihiro Ono TV사업부장이 ‘Designs for BRAVIA OLED TV and Expectations for large screen OLED devices’란 제목으로 OLED 채택 배경과 BRAVIA OLED TV 개발 히스토리, 타사의 OLED TV와 차별점에 대해 발표할 예정이다.

OLED 산업의 동향과 발전 방향을 확인할 수 있는 제 4회 OLED KOREA Conference는 200여명 이상의 국내외 주요 전문가 및 산업 종사자들이 참여할 것으로 예상되며, 네트워킹의 기회와 함께 관련 정보 및 노하우에 대한 지속적인 교류가 가능하도록 기획되어 많은 관심을 받고 있다. 자세한 사항은 www.oledkoreaconference.com 에서 확인할 수 있다.

OLED 전문 글로벌 리서치 기관 UBI Research, 심천시 디스플레이업 협회 해외 전문가로 초빙 받아

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<우측: 심천시 디스플레이업 협회 부사장 겸 사무국장 Jeff Kwok(郭灝明, Executive Deputy), 좌측 : UBI Research 대표 이충훈(李忠壎)>

지난 11월 25일 심천시 디스플레이업 협회 부사장 겸 사무국장 Jeff Kwok(郭灝明, Executive Deputy)은 OLED 전문 글로벌 리서치 기관 UBI Research 대표 이충훈(李忠壎)을 협회의 해외 전문가로 정식 초빙하였다.

심천시 디스플레이협회는 2005년 1월에 30여개 주요 기업이 앞장서서 설립하였으며, 2009년 터치스크린 분회를 설립하였다. 이는 중국에서 최초로 설립한 디스플레이협회로 회원은 국내외를 모두 아우르며, 선전시의 지역 한계를 뛰어넘어 현재 중국 내에서 규모와 영향력이 가장 크며 산업발전을위해 활발하게 활동하고 있다. 2014년 선전시 디스플레이업 협회는 전문가 위원회를 설립하여 회원단위 및 산업에 관련된 기업의 요구사항에 가까워지기 위해 노력하였고 기술 자문서비스등 다양한 서비스를 제공하고 있다.

협회전문가 위원회는 모두 각 영역의 기술전문가나 업계의 정상급 분석가들로 구성되어 있다. 구성원들은 국내외 디스플레이산업의 전후방에 걸쳐 기업, 학교, 과학연구기관, 업계 분석기관등에서 초빙되었으며 중국 디스플레이산업의 건강한 발전을 위해 탄탄한 인재기반을 구축하기위해 노력하고 있다.

UBI Research는 심천 디스플레이협회의 전문가위원회 참여를 통하여 OLED 산업에서 글로벌 리서치 기관으로서 한국과 중국, 나아가 전세계 OLED 산업발전 기여를 위해 더욱 노력할 의사를 밝혔다. 중요한 시장으로 인식되고 있는 중국 디스플레이산업에서 다양한 기업들과 관계구축을 통해 OLED 산업에서 보다 신뢰할 만한 시장 분석 서비스를 제공할 예정이다.

Fraunhofer Institute will introduce automotive flexible OLED lighting at ISAL 2017

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Specialized in development and manufacturing OLED module, Fraunhofer Institute will introduce Automotive flexible OLED lighting with adjusted color at ISAL 2017 which will be held in Darmstadt, Germany from 25th to 27th September. Fraunhofer Institute had released previously OLED which the color can be adjusted by rigid substrate in 2015.

Fraunhofer Institute has continued to develop flexible OLED lighting since then. Flexible OLED lighting which will be shown at ISAL 2017 is known to be changed to yellow and blue color. It can be shown as white light by making of yellow and blue color at the same time.

Fraunhofer Institute predicts that flexible OLED lighting will be replaced for car interior lights and it could also be used on the ceiling or winding parts where lights cannot be built easily. Commercial lighting is required to have heatsink and unfortunately it can not be easily built with lack of flexibility in design. However flexible OLED lighting is very light and thin which means it is expected to be widely used for Automotives interior with its flexible design. Fraunhofer Institute also made a comment that they may produce flexible OLED substrate glass, metal and plastic film as well.

OLED lighting has been recently used for Automotives interior and it is expected to be used more in the next generation. Customized Automotive service company, Changscustom showed OLED lighting built in the car at Seoul Auto 2016. Furthermore lighting companies including LG Display and Osram supplied OLED tail light with Mercedes-Benz and BMW.

Meanwhile, according to 2017 OLED Lighting Annual Report which was recently published by UBi Research, using of Automotive OLED Lighting will be increased to $2.11 billion in 2025 from $6.4 million in 2017 with 107% of growth rate. Especially flexible OLED Lighting is expected to capture a higher market share more than 95% and flexible OLED Lighting will be widely used instead of rigid OLED lighting.

Starting to have mass production process in Gen5 OLED of LG Display from end of September, lighting market is expected to reach full growth. The growth of OLED lighting market is being watched with keen interest to compare with strong growth of OLED display market.

Fraunhofer Institute, ISAL 2017에서 차량용 flexible OLED 조명을 선보일 예정

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OLED 모듈의 개발과 제작을 전문적으로 하고 있는 Fraunhofer Institute가 9월 25일부터 27일까지 독일 다름슈타트에서 진행되는 ISAL 2017에서 색조절이 가능한 차량용 flexible OLED를 선보일 예정이라 밝혔다. Fraunhofer Institute는 지난 2015년 rigid 기판을 이용하여 색 조절이 가능한 OLED를 선보인 바 있다.

2015년 이후 Fraunhofer Institute는 flexible OLED 조명을 지속적으로 개발해왔다. 이번 ISAL 2017에서 선보일 flexible OLED 조명은 노란색과 파란색 2가지 색상으로 색 변환이 가능하며 2가지 색상을 동시에 발현하여 백색광을 표현할 수도 있는 것으로 알려졌다.

Fraunhofer Institute는 flexible OLED 조명이 기존의 차량 내부 조명을 대체 할 뿐만 아니라 천장이나 굴곡이 있는 부분 등 설치가 힘든 부분에도 적용 될 것으로 전망했다. 기존의 조명은 SMPS나 방열판이 필요하고 유연한 특성이 부족했기 때문에 설치 제약이 있지만 flexible OLED 조명은 얇고 가벼울 뿐만 아니라 디자인 자율성이 뛰어나 차량 내부에 광범위하게 적용이 될 것으로 기대를 모으고 있다. Fraunhofer Institute는 flexible OLED용 기판이 초 박막 유리나 금속 또는 플라스틱 필름으로 제조가 가능하다고 설명했다.

최근 OLED 조명은 차량 실내외로 적용되며 차세대 차량용 조명으로 큰 관심을 받고 있다. 맞춤형 자동차 서비스 회사인 Changscustom은 OLED 조명을 차량 내부에 설치하여 Seoul Auto 2016에 전시한 바 있으며, LG Display와 Osram 등 OLED 광원 업체들은 Mercedes-Benz와 BMW 등의 완성차 업체에 tail light용 OLED 광원을 납품하기도 하였다.

<Fraunhofer Institute의 차량용 flexible OLED 조명, 출처: Fraunhofer Institute>

한편, 유비산업리서치에서 최근 발간한 2017 OLED Lighting Annual Report에 따르면 차량용 OLED 광원은 2017년 640만 달러에서 2025년 21.1억 달러로 연평균 107%의 성장률을 기록할 것으로 전망했다. 특히, flexible OLED 광원이 2021년까지 95% 이상의 시장 점유율을 차지 할 것으로 예상하며 flexible OLED 광원이 rigid OLED 광원보다 적극적으로 채용 될 것으로 전망했다.

OLED 광원 시장은 9월 말부터 본격 가동 되는 LG Display의 Gen5 OLED 광원 양산라인을 시작으로 본격적인 시장 개화가 기대되고 있다. OLED 광원 시장이 OLED 디스플레이 시장만큼 괄목할 만한 성장세를 보여줄 수 있을지 귀추가 주목되고 있다.

UBi Research, Lee Choong-Hoon, CEO, announce OLED market and forecast

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Mr. Choong-Hoon Lee, the CEO of UBi Research, OLED specialist presented the market trend and prospects of the OLED industry following last year at the Japan Conference, host by Merrill Lynch Japan Securities, from 5th to 7th of September in Tokyo, Japan. The annual conference was held for Merrill Lynch Securities customers, consisting of a forum-type presentation on major industry trends in Japan and small meetings with presenters.

The fact that Mr. Lee, the CEO of UBi Research was invited to the event indicates the importance of the display market, not just in the IT industry but also in the global market industry. Among investors in recent years, display is in the spotlight at as an emerging industry and participants have shown their interest in the latest OLED technology trend as well as current and future production scale of OLED panel manufacturers.

Mr. Lee was also had an interview with Nikkei Business Publication regarding “Global OLED Market Trend and Forecast” during the conference. The main interview question is focused on “OLED industry trend and future OLED TV market development”. According to Naoki Tanaka, editor of Ronny Keikyo Newspaper, Japanese electronics industry is expecting to revive the old glory of display industry, showing its interest in the OLED industry and OLED TV.

In the interview, Mr. Lee stressed, referring to the market data in the UBi Research OLED display report, that Japanese display manufacturers who still believe perpetuation of LCD need more reliable OLED market analysis.

In addition, he said that through the exhibition trend of OLED TV at 2017 IFA held in Berlin, Germany it is worthwhile paying continuous attention to the premium OLED TV market in the future. At the end of the interview, he emphasized how important OLED production by Japanese panel manufacturers would be to Japan’s entire display and set industry.

UBi Research publishes a monthly report on a variety of topics of OLED industry, market, and technology trend, and draws more and more attention along with the recent OLED market expansion. For more information, please contact UBi Research (info@ubiresearch.com); useful sample reports and information are provided.

유비리서치, 이충훈 대표 OLED 시장과 전망에 대해 발표

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OLED 전문 글로벌 리서치 기관 유비리서치 이충훈 대표는 9월 5일부터 7일까지 일본 동경에서 일본 메릴린치 증권사의 주관으로 개최된 Japan Conference에서 작년에 이어 OLED 산업을 대표하여 시장동향과 전망에 대해 발표하였다. 매년 개최되는 본 컨퍼런스는 메릴린치 증권사의 고객을 대상으로 일본의 주요 산업의 동향에 대해 포럼형식의 발표와 발표자들과의 소규모 미팅들로 구성된다.

유비리서치 이충훈 대표가 초청 받은 것은 IT 산업에서 뿐만 아니라 전체 산업에서 디스플레이 시장의 중요성을 보여주고 있다. 최근 투자자들 사이에서 디스플레이는 관심산업으로 조명 받고 있으며 참석자들은 최근 OLED 기술 동향과 OLED 패널 회사들의 현재와 미래 생산규모에 대한 궁금증을 보였다.

유비리서치 이충훈 대표는 같은 기간 니케이 경제 신문 (Nikkei Business Publication)과 “글로벌 OLED 시장 동향과 전망”에 관해 인터뷰를 진행하였다. 주요질문은 “OLED 산업동향과 앞으로 OLED TV 시장의 전개” 로 니케이 경제 신문의 에디터 나오키 타나카 (Naoki Tanaka)에 따르면 현재 일본 전자 산업은 예전의 디스플레이 산업의 부흥을 기대하여 OLED산업과 OLED TV에 많은 관심을 보이고 있다.

인터뷰를 통해 이충훈 대표는 유비리서치 OLED 디스플레이 보고서에 수록된 시장 자료를 바탕으로 OLED 시장 전망에 대한 의견을 피력하였으며 아직까지도 LCD가 영원할 것으로 믿는 일본 디스플레이 관련 기업에 대하여 보다 신뢰성 있는 OLED 시장 분석 정보의 필요성을 강조하였다.

또한 최근 참석한 독일 베를린에서 개최된 2017 IFA의 OLED TV 전시동향 공유를 통해 앞으로 OLED TV가 이끌어갈 프리미엄 시장을 계속적으로 주목해 볼만 하다고 전하였다. 인터뷰 말미에서 일본 전체 디스플레이와 세트 산업에 일본 패널 업체들의 OLED 패널 생산이 가지는 중요성에 대하여 강조하며 인터뷰를 마쳤다.

유비리서치는 매달 다양한 주제로 OLED 산업과 시장, 기술 동향에 대한 보고서를 발간하고 있으며 최근 OLED 시장의 확대와 함께 더욱 주목받고 있다. 보다 자세한 내용은 유비리서치(info@ubiresearch.com)으로 문의하면 다양한 보고서 샘플과 정보 서비스에 대한 설명을 받을 수 있다.

UBi Research first half year closing seminar ” OLED Market analysis and latest technology”

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OLED Market

■ Review the technical issues & market in the OLED industry in the first half of 2017

■ Market outlook and change points forecast for the 2H of the year thru 1H issue analysis

 

UBI Research will hold an OLED market analysis and latest technology on June 30 (Fri) at the FKI Conference Center in Yeouido, Korea, to finalize the OLED market in the first half of 2017 and forecast the market in the second half of 2017.

 

In this seminar, we will look at the investment trends and future of major panel makers and look at OLED market trends and latest technologies such as development status of luminescent materials of TADF and Iridium phosphorescent materials, technology issues for flexible OLEDs, and surface patterning deposition technology for high resolution so that it will be a place to preview how OLED markets and technologies will change.

 

In this seminar, (Kwon Seong-Ryul, head of Dongbu Securities Industry Analysis team will be presenting on changes in OLED portion in smartphones, TVs, and signage, and polarization of major OLED panel suppliers by country, forecasts of major OLED equipment and materials markets, possibility of foldable display and technical difficulties and etc.

 

Following this, Chang Jung-Hoon, a member of Samsung Securities Tech team is responsible for Samsung’s line expansion, analyzing the current status of OLED panel makers in China, analyzing value chain of OLED equipment makers and material companies, changing supply chain driven by OLED application of Apple iPhone, demand forecast for small and medium-sized OLED panels from investor point of view.

 

Next, Lee Jun-Yeob, professor at SungKyunKwan University will mention the development process of TADF OLED, technical issues of TADF dopant, technical issues of TADF OLED, and current situation of hyperfluorescence.

 

Kim Jae-Hoon, professor at Hanyang University, will disclose the experiment result in which the luminous efficiency is improved by 60% compared to conventional OLED by applying circular dichroism technology to improve the light efficiency of OLED.

 

Lee Choong-Hoon, president of UBi Research, will explain investment prospects and investment trends of major OLED companies, overall equipment market forecast for OLED manufacturing, OLED luminous material market forecast, overall OLED market outlook, available panel shipment to the market and sales forecasts.

 

Jin Sung-Ho, professor at Pusan National University will present the experiment result showing high luminous efficiency while simplifying the OLED structure by introducing a functional substituent having electron transfer property into a red iridium phosphorescent material and developing an iridium-based phosphorescent material for OLED capable of solution process.

 

Lee Ki-Yong, professor at Hanyang University will explain display trends, technical issues of flexible OLED components, and concept design of flexible displays.

 

Lastly, Hwang Chang-Hoon, professor at Dankuk University and a representative of OLEDON, will explain the plane source patterning deposition technology that can improve the OLED resolution by about 8 times by implementing 0.38 um shadow distance (SD).

 

Convention team (Lee Seul-Ji Assistant Manager)/ Tel: 02-577-4903 /Email: sjlee@ubiresearch.com

2017 Q1 AMOLED Performance Analysis

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According to UBI Research, sales of AMOLED in the first quarter of 2017 were US$ 4.31 billion, up 15% from the same quarter last year (Q1 2016). Shipments amounted to 99.1 million units, up 9% from the same period last year.

AMOLED accounted for 88% of smartphone sales and 7% of TV sales. Especially, TV sales market share grew by 5% YoY and it shows big growth of OLED TV market.

With Samsung Electronics’ Galaxy S8 and S8+ launches and mass production of AMOLED panels for Apple, and joining OLED TV market of Japanese companies such as Sony, Toshiba and Panasonic, the AMOLED market will continue to grow even after Q2. Mobile AMOLEDs are expected to ship more than 100 million units each quarter, and TV AMOLEDs are expected to ship more than 300,000 units per quarter.

UBI Research estimates that the total AMOLED market will grow to a CAGR of 33% by 2020, reaching US$ 59.3 billion.

 

<Total AMOLED market sales forecast>

What is the future of OLED?

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Choong Hoon Yi, president of UBI Research made a keynote speech with a theme “The Future of OLED” at ‘The 3rd OLED Korea Conference’ hosted by UBI Research for two days from March 8 to 9.

Choong Hoon Yi, president of UBI Research stated “100-inch rollable wall TV is the future of OLED”. “human eyes have a wide viewing angle so even if display covers the whole wall, there is no discomfort. Glass substrate OLED may be difficult to carry, and accordingly rollable display can be rolled up and delivered like a carpet.” he added.

He also predicted “plastic substrates and printing process for price cut will be suitable for rollable display. TFT and pixel production techniques made by Solution process will be a key to future technology”. If a speaker is built in rollable display, and a correspondence between the person and sound on the screen will represent a perfect display.

Choong Hoon Yi said the reasons for the success of OLED can be found out in the mobile market.
Firstly, 4K contents to be used for future TVs will be used in smartphones, and smartphones will also use 4K resolution.

Second, Apple will release the OLED iPhone this year, and there will be an Apple effect because Samsung Display is building the A3 line for Apple to produce 200 million 5.5-inch OLED displays.

Third, Chinese market accounts for 40% of the global smartphone market, and Chinese set companies have been rapidly increasing the release of smartphones.

Lastly, a flexible OLED to cover the full screen smartphone will have no home button and feature wide screen to satisfy visual functions, and its strengthened security system that reads fingerprint and pattern can be applied.

For the four reasons above, he expected OLED will be key in the future mobile market.

Meanwhile, he expected the shipments of OLED panel will be 1.7 billion in 2021, and the sales will amount to US$ 75 billion. Korean display companies will represent more than 80% of the total market in 2021, and China will take up 10~15%. In addition, he forecast that display panel companies will make a new investment in flexible OLED which will account for 70% of the total OLED market.

OLED의 미래는?

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유비산업리서치에서 3월 8일부터 9일까지 이틀동안 개최한 ‘제 3회 OLED Korea Conference’에서 유비산업리서치의 이충훈 대표는 “The Future of OLED”라는 주제로 keynote 발표를 했다.

 

이충훈 대표는 미래의 OLED 모습으로 “100인치의 rollable wall TV”를 언급했다. 이 대표는 “사람의 눈은 시야각이 매우 넓기 때문에 디스플레이가 벽 전체를 차지해도 불편함이 없다. 유리 기판의 OLED는 배송에 문제가 있을 것이며 카페트 형태로 말아서 배송할 수 있는 rollable display가 적합할 것”이라고 밝혔다.

“Rollable display를 구현하기 위해서는 plastic 기판과 가격 인하를 위한 printing 방식이 적합할 것이다. Solution process로 만들어지는 pixel 제조 기술과 TFT 제조 기술이 미래 기술의 핵심이 될 수 있을 것”이라고 전망했다. Rollable display에 스피커가 내장되고, 화면 속 인물과 소리가 일치 된다면 완벽한 디스플레이의 모습이 될 것으로 내다봤다.

 

이충훈 대표는 OLED가 성공할 수 밖에 없는 이유는 모바일 시장에서 해답을 찾을 수 있다고 언급했다.

첫번째 이유는 향후 TV에 사용되는 4K 콘텐츠가 스마트폰에서도 사용될 것이며 스마트폰 역시 4K 해상도 제품이 사용 될 것이라고 말했다.

두번째 이유는 Apple이 올해 출시할 아이폰에 OLED를 사용하게 될 것이며 삼성디스플레이가 5.5인치 기준 OLED 2억개 생산이 가능한 Apple 전용 A3 라인을 구축 중에 있어 Apple 효과가 발생할 것이라고 밝혔다.

세번째 이유는 전 세계 스마트폰 시장의 40%는 중국 시장인데 중국 세트 업체들도 OLED를 채택한 스마트폰 출시가 빠르게 증가하고 있다고 말했다.

마지막으로 flexible OLED가 구현할 full screen 스마트폰은 홈버튼을 없애며 화면이 넓어져 시각적 기능을 만족시킬 수 있을 뿐만 아니라 지문과 패턴을 동시에 인식하여 강화된 보안 시스템을 적용할 수 있다고 언급했다.

위의 4가지 이유로 미래의 모바일 시장에서 OLED가 핵심이 될 것으로 전망했다.

 

한편, OLED panel 시장 전망에 대해서는 2021년에 출하량이 17억대, 매출액은 US$ 75 billion 규모를 달성할 것으로 전망했다. 한국 디스플레이 업체가 2021년에 전체 시장의 80% 이상을 차지할 것이며, 중국은 시장의 10~15%를 차지할 것으로 전망했다. 또한, 디스플레이 패널 업체들이 flexible OLED 중심으로 신규 투자가 이루어질 것이고, 2021년에는 전체 OLED 시장의 70%를 flexible OLED가 차지할 것으로 전망했다.

2017 will be an important year to be able to emphasize the innovation of OLED to consumers

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<Lee Woo-keun, a senior researcher at LG Economic Research Institute>

Lee Woo-keun, a senior researcher at LG Economic Research Institute, predicted that the year 2017 will be an important year to be able to emphasize the innovation of OLED to consumers, in the seminar for the 2016 OLED evaluation held at the Yeouido Small & Medium Business Center in Seoul, hosted by UbI Research on last December 2.

He added “LG is leading the OLED TV market in the premium TV market ahead of next year’s CES, but we will have to keep an eye on the impact of Sony’s joining” as one of the notable issues in large-sized OLED panels, and he continued “as there is still a fundamental expectation for Sony’s image quality among existing consumers, we will have to pay attention to what innovative appearance Sony’ OLED TVs will show and how they can appeal to consumers.

Referring to the adoption of OLED panels in Apple’s iPhone8 (tentative name) in the mobile phone market, as a small and medium issue, he said “it is important how to realize OLED display on Apple iphone 8, and how much impact it will have on consumers through this”. He said “if we could not show the innovation distinguishing it from existing LCDs despite adopting OLEDs, consumers’ expectations for OLEDs may be diminished,” emphasizing that it should draw meaningful responses to OLEDs from consumers’ perspective .

It is expected that Apple will launch iPhone applying flexible AMOLED panels in 2017, and Sony is also being confirmed to continuously review its entry into the OLED TV business. In 2017, it is expected that the number of set-makers launching OLED-applied products will increase more. In the situation that consumers are expecting a ‘completely new thing owned only by OLED products’, which is entirely different from existing LCD products, through various media reports and rumors, the year 2017 seems to be an important year to emphasize the innovation of OLED and to promote its merchantability.

2017년은 소비자에게 OLED의 혁신성을 강조할 수 있는 중요한 한 해가 될 것

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<2016 OLED 결산세미나, LG경제연구원 이우근 책임>

지난 12월 2일 유비산업리서치 주관으로 서울 여의도 중소기업회관에서 열린 2016 OLED 결산세미나에서 LG경제연구원 이우근 책임은 2017년이 소비자에게 OLED의 혁신성을 강조할 수 있는 중요한 한해가 될 것으로 내다봤다.

이우근 책임은 대형 OLED 패널에서 주목할 만한 이슈 중 하나로 “내년 CES를 앞두고 현재 premium TV 시장에서 OLED TV는 LG가 시장을 주도하고 있지만, Sony가 가세하게 될 때의 임팩트를 눈 여겨 봐야 할 것”이라 언급하며, “여전히 기존 소비자들에게 Sony의 화질에 대한 기본적인 기대가 있는 만큼, 이러한 시각에서 Sony의 OLED TV가 어떠한 혁신적인 모습을 보여줄지, 또한 소비자에게 어떠한 호응을 이끌어 낼 수 있을지에 대해 관심있게 관찰 해야 될 것”이라 말했다.

중소형 이슈로 mobile phone시장에서 Apple의 iPhone8(가칭)에 OLED 패널 채용을 언급하며 “Apple iPhone8에 OLED display를 어떠한 방식으로 구현할 것인지, 이를 통해 과연 소비자에게 얼마만큼의 임팩트를 줄 수 있을 것인지가 중요하다”하고 말했다. 또한, “OLED를 적용했음에도 불구하고 기존 LCD와 차별화 된 혁신성을 보여주지 못한다면, 소비자들이 OLED에 대한 기대가 사그라질 수도 있다.”라고 말하며, 소비자 관점에서 OLED에 대한 의미 있는 호응을 이끌어 내야 함을 강조하였다.

2017년에는 Apple의 flexible AMOLED panel이 적용된 iPhone 출시될 것으로 기대되고 있으며, Sony도 OLED TV 사업 진입에 대해 지속적인 검토중인 것으로 확인되고 있다. 2017년에는 OLED를 적용한 제품을 출시하는 set업체가 더욱 늘어날 것으로 기대된다. 소비자들이 여러 언론 보도와 루머들을 통해 기존 LCD 제품들과는 다른 ‘OLED 제품만의 완전히 새로운 것’을 기대하고 있는 상황에서, 2017년은 OLED의 혁신성을 강조하고 상품성을 내세울 수 있는 중요한 한 해가 될 것으로 보인다.

 

LG Electronics, OLED TV volume of sales 2 times in the 3rd quarter

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LG Electronics revealed that OLED TV volume of sales was enlarged two times than last year through the conference on the third quarter performance having been progressed on the 27th, and currently OLED TV occupied over 10% among total TV sales. Also they expect that volume of the fourth quarter will be increased two times vs. the third quarter.

Regarding countermeasures on quantum dot TV of Samsung Electronics, they have no notion of competing prices with OLED TV, and emphasizes that they will strengthen recognition such like best TV is OLED TV by thoroughly sustaining premium strategies. They explains that market position of OLED in the market of over USD 200, or USD 300 has been actually increasing rapidly

HE Business Division achieved operating incomes (381.5 billion won) and sales profits of top levels (9.2%) in the third quarter. Sales amount was 4 trillion and 141.5 billion won, and there was not large change with previous quarter (4 trillion and 157.2 billion won).
LG Electronics forecasts that TV demands will be increased due to entering high-demand season in the fourth quarter, and needs on premium products such as OLED TV and UHD TV will be expanded further vs. previous quarter centering on the advanced market especially. Though profitability is expected to be decreased vs. previous quarter owing to effects from increases of panel price and expanded marketing expenses, they reveals their willingness such like responding to seasonal demands on large-size premium products including OLED TV and UHD TV etc. will be made successfully.

Meanwhile, according to UBi RESEARCH, they forecasts that OLED TV in premium TV market will achieve high-speed growth while forming the market of 69.1% in 2012 from 16.7% in 2016.

WOLED will lead premium TV market after 2020

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UBi RESEARCH held ‘An Analytical Seminar on OLED Market Entry Feasibility of QLED and Solution Process’ on the 14th at Seoul Small& Medium Business Center.

CEO Lee Chung-hoon of UBi REARCH said “OLEd TV will show 16.7% market share in 2016 at the world premium TV market, and lead premium TV market with 68.1% share in 2020.” and analyzed such like “LCD TV could not follow OLED TV performance excluding low price and high solution.”

161018_1

China is threating domestic LCD market in current wide TV market while displaying material superiority to LCD industry, and cost-effective rate of the wide TV is losing ground to Chinese products too. Thus, LG Display and LG Electronics did successful market entry after having equipped with competiveness in the premium market through OLED TV, and they are expediting mass-production investment and technical development aiming at dominating and popularizing premium TV market.

The most important factor in popularizing OLED TV is price. ASP (average sales price) of UHD OLED panel based on second quarter of 2016 is USD 720, and FHD OLED panel is approximately USD 450. It was expected that UHD OLED panel could lead TV market if it secured about USD 500.

Development to adopt solution process methods has been progressed in order to lower price of wide OLED panel in the industry, and QLED technology as an alternative of OLED TV is becoming an issue nowadays.

In relation with this, CEO Lee Chung-hoon forecasted like “As much as being closed to commercialization due to development of solution process OLED or QLED technology, WOLED technology becomes to be developed one step more, so market entry of solution process OLED and QLED will not be achieved easily. Specially, there are many technical issues in QLED which is considered as next OLED by Samsung Electronics, and 10 years of research will be required further.”

Also, he emphasized that the technology of being able to reduce cost vs. WOLED such as lessening layer numbers dramatically etc. should be developed in order to enter solution process OLED and market successfully, and the entry shall be made by targeting low-end market. In particular, he analyzed that WOLED would lead premium TV, and solution process QLED and QLED occupy the low-end market after 2020.

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<TV Market Scenario after 2025 (Source: UBi RESEARCH)>

Past OLED, TV∙Mobile, New World for VR∙Automotive…UBI Research Hosts 16th IMID Industrial Forum

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16th IMID Industrial Forum

16th IMID Industrial Forum

Hyunjoo Kang / jjoo@olednet.com
OLED, that has been rejuvenating TV and smartphone market and receiving attention as the next generation display, is expanding to diverse industries including VR/AR, automotive, and lighting, demonstrating its endless potential. How will the new OLED world will be actualized past the TV and mobile, and how the industry players should react, a place of information sharing opens.
Together with KIDS (Korean Information Display Society), UBI Research is hosting Industrial Forum in IMID 2016 in Jeju ICC (23-24 August). During this event, various experts in the field will discuss OLED’s potential and forecast in diverse industries.
Dokyun Kim, who is leading AR/VR research in Samsung Electronics, is giving a presentation titled ‘Further Growth in Display Industry with VR/AR’ (title TBC). He is expected to discuss the opportunities that growth of VR/AR industry will bring to the display market.
LG Display’s automotive sales and marketing’s Sanghyun An will talk about trend and forecast of automotive display market that is in limelight as OLED’s new market through his presentation ‘Potential Market Growth in Automotive Industry with OLED’ (title TBC).
Furthermore, experts from companies such as Sony, E ink, Aurora Lighting Design, and ALPS will share their insight regarding OLED’s endless potential.
Choong Hoon Yi, of UBI Research that is hosting this event, will also share his thoughts on useful guidelines for utilizing new opportunities in the changing market led by OLED. More information on the IMID Industrial Forum can be found through UBI Research website.

갤럭시 S부터 S7까지 해상도 10배 증가…”갤럭시 S8은 4K UHD 유력”

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출처=유비산업리서치 ‘Galaxy S Series의 AMOLED 특성 분석 보고서’

강현주 / jjoo@olednet.com

2010년 3월 삼성전자의 첫 갤럭시 S가 출시된 이래 6년간 총 9종의 갤럭시 S 시리즈가 출시되는 동안 화면사이즈는 1.5인치 커지고 해상도는 약 10배의 증가가 이뤄진 것으로 나타났다.

유비산업리서치가 최근 발간한 ‘갤럭시 S 시리즈의 AMOLED 특성 분석 보고서’에 따르면 ‘갤럭시 S’부터 ‘갤럭시 S7 엣지’에 이르기까지 이 시리즈에 장착된 AMOLED 패널은 4인치에서 5.5인치로 1.5인치가 늘었으며 해상도는 480×800 WVGA에서 1440×2560 QHD로 9.6배 증가했다.

갤럭시 S 시리즈에 탑재 되어 온 AMOLED의 변화 추이를 볼 때 오는 2017년 출시될 ‘갤럭시 S8’는 5인치 중후반대가 될 것으로 예상되며 해상도는 UHD 4K(800ppi)가 될 것으로 전망된다.

2010년 3월 갤럭시 S 초기 모델이 4인치 화면으로 출시된 이후 매년 증가, S7과 S7 엣지는 각각 5.1인치, 5.5인치로 출시되어 초기 S에 비해 약 30% 이상 화면 크기가 증가했다.

삼성전자는 6인치대의 스마트폰도 출시한 바 있으나 지난 2015년 6인치대의 제품은 사라지고 5인치대의 화면 사이즈가 삼성전자 전체 스마트폰 제품의 71%를 차지하게 됐다.

그동안 삼성전자에서는 갤럭시 S의 WVGA를 시작으로 S3는 HD, S4와 S5는 FHD를 거쳐 S6와S7은 QHD까지 제품 출시가 이뤄졌다.

갤럭시 S 시리즈 해상도 변화 추이 (출처 : Galaxy S Series의 AMOLED 특성 분석 보고서)

갤럭시 S 시리즈는 S3의 HD 해상도를 제외하고는 현재 해상도의 개발 주기가 2년 간격으로 다음 해상도로 옮겨가고 있다.

이러한 추세대로라면 2017년 출시될 갤럭시 S8는 5인치대 중후반의 화면 크기에 UHD 4K 해상도를 갖출 것이라 기대할 수 있다.

유비산업리서치 관계자는 “최근 삼성디스플레이가 샌프란시스코에서 열린 ‘SID 2016’에 VR용으로 전시한 UHD 4K의 806 ppi를 갖춘 5.5인치 AMOLED는 휘도가 S7과 동등 수준”이라며 “생산 수율 개선 등을 고려하면 이 디스플레이는 내년에 출시될 갤럭시 S8에 채용될 것으로 예측된다”고 설명했다.

유비산업리서치, SID 2016서 OLED 보고서·컨설팅 관련 비즈니스 상담 오픈

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(Source = SID)

UBI Research가 SID 2016에서 비즈니스 상담을 오픈한다. (Source = SID)

강현주 / jjoo@olednet.com

유비산업리서치( UBI Research )가 오는 24일부터 26일까지 샌프란시스코 모스콘 센터에서 열리는 ‘Society of Information Display 2016(SID 2016)’ 전시회에서 부스를 운영, 비즈니스 상담을 오픈할 예정이다.

유비산업리서치는 이번 부스운영을 통해 자사의 OLED 보고서 및 컨설팅 서비스에 대한 미팅을 진행한다. 부스를 방문하는 이들은 유비산업리서치가 제공하는 보고서 및 컨설팅에 대해 자세한 정보를 얻을 수 있다.

유비산업리서치는 방문객들에게 자사가 OLED 산업의 최신 정보를 얻는 방법론에 대해 소개하고 고객들이 누릴 수 있는 혜택에 대해 소개할 계획이다.

유비산업리서치 관계자는 “SID 2016 전시장 내 우리 부스에 방문하시면 OLED 산업에 대한 중요한 인사이트를 얻어갈 기회가 될 것이며 이 기회는 모두에게 열려있다”고 말했다

부스 방문을 원하는 이들은 모스콘 센터 SID 2016 전시장 409번 부스로 오면 된다. 부스 운영은 SID 2016 전시회 기간인 24일부터 26일 3일간 진행되며 사전 예약을 환영한다.

더 자세한 문의는 마케팅 매니저인 오하나 과장(hanaoh@ubiresearch.co.kr)에게 할 수 있다. 전화 문의는 02-577-4940로 걸어 오하나 과장을 찾으면 된다.

 

글로벌 OLED 인맥 한자리에…유비산업리서치, 샌프란시스코에서 ‘OLED Night’ 개최

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유비산업리서치가 SID 2016을 맞아 샌프란시스코에서 OLED Night을 개최한다(출처=SID)

유비산업리서치가 SID 2016을 맞아 샌프란시스코에서 OLED Night 을 개최한다(출처=SID)

강현주 / jjoo@olednet.com

전세계 OLED 산업 주요 인사들이 한자리에 모여 칵테일 파티를 연다.

유비산업리서치는 오는 5월 25일(수) 오후 6시 30분(현지시간) 샌프란시스코 Dobbs Ferry에서 전세계 OLED 관련 업계 관계자들을 대상으로 ‘OLED Night’을 개최한다.

유비산업리서치는 OLED 주요 관계자들간 의견을 교환하고 폭넓은 네트워크 구축을 도모하고자 OLED Night을 기획했다. 같은 시기 샌프란시스코에서 열리는 글로벌 최대 디스플레이 산업 행사인 Society of Information Display 2016(SID 2016)을 기회로 삼았다는 게 유비산업리서치의 설명이다.

칵테일 파티 형식으로 진행되는 이번 OLED Night에는 LG디스플레이, 덕산네오룩스, 선익시스템 등 한국 업체들뿐 아니라 BOE, CYNORA, 비져녹스, UDC 등 글로벌 디스플레이 업계의 주요 인사들이 모인다.

유비산업리서치 관계자는 “전세계 주요 OLED 관계자들이 참석하는 SID를 맞아, OLED 산업에서의상호 발전 기회를 찾고자 OLED Night을 마련했다”며 “참석자들은 이번 행사에서 ‘Win-Win’을 이끄는 의견교환을 하는 동시에 네트워크를 더욱 탄탄히 할 수 있을 것”이라고 말했다.

한편 이번 ‘OLED Night’ 행사는 초대장 지참시 참석 가능하다.

 

 

“애플, 삼성전자보다 OLED 더 많이 사용할 것”-UBI

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UBI Research 이충훈대표가 애플의 OLED 채택과 관련한 시장 분석을 하고 있다.

강현주 / jjoo@olednet

오는 2021년부터는 애플이 삼성전자보다 OLED를 더 많이 사용할 것이라는 전망이 제기됐다.

유비산업리서치(UBI Research)가 13일 서울 여의도 중소기업회관에서 개최한 OLED 투자 분석 세미나 ‘애플이 디스플레이 업계에 미칠 파장’에서 이충훈 유비산업리서치 대표는 향후 플렉서블 OLED 스마트폰 시장 점유율을 전망했다.

이충훈 대표에 따르면 애플은 오는 2017년부터 플렉서블 OLED 아이폰을 출시하기 시작하며 그 해 글로벌 플렉서블 OLED 스마트폰 시장의 8% 점유율을 차지할 것으로 예상했다. 이어 해마다 점유율을 늘려 2020년에 삼성전자와 같은 32%를 점유하고 2021년 37%의 점유율로 27%의 삼성전자를 넘을 것이라는 게 이 대표의 분석이다.

2015년과 2016년의 경우 삼성전자가 전세계 플렉서블 OLED 스마트폰 시장의 70% 이상을 차지하며 사실상 독주하고 있다. 하지만 애플이 내년부터 OLED 아이폰을 낼 것으로 예상되는 데다가 스마트폰 시장에서 아이폰 점유율이 늘어나는 추세다. 결국 애플의 OLED 사용량이 삼성전자를 넘어설 것이라는 게 이충훈 대표의 관측이다.

유비산업리서치에 따르면 2016년부터 2021년까지 스마트폰 시장은 연평균 6% 성장율로 성장, 전반적인 출하량은 늘어날 것이다. 이 가운데 삼성전자는 2013년까지는 애플을 빠른 속도로 누르고 점유율을 크게 늘려왔지만 2014년부터 점유율이 조금씩 줄어드는 추세다. 반면 애플은 늘고 있다.

이충훈 대표는 “애플은 연간 아이폰을 2억2천만대 가량 판매하고 있지만 2018년에는 3억대로 늘고 그 중 30%, 즉 1억대는 OLED 탑재품이될 것으로 예상된다”며 “이어 2020년에는 4억대로 크게 늘어날 것으로 관측되며 그중 80%가 OLED가 될 것”이라고 내다봤다.

애플의 OLED 채택에 따라 글로벌 디스플레이 업체들의 물량 공급 경쟁도 치열해 볼 것으로 보인다. 이충훈 대표는 삼성디스플레이가 물량의 60%를 공급하고 제 2 공급사가 30%, 나머지가 10%가 될 것으로 예상했다.

LG디스플레이, 재팬디스플레이(JDI)가 제 2, 제 3 공급사로 유력했으나 애플의 굳건한 파트너인 폭스콘이 샤프를 인수함에 따라 폭스콘 역시 향후에는 강력한 후보가 돼 결국 4개 업체가 애플에 OLED를 공급하게 될 수도 있다. 하지만 JDI와 폭스콘 중 하나는 밀릴 수 있다는 게 이충훈 대표의 설명이다.

애플을 위한 물량 공급을 위해 패널업체들의 양산라인 증설 투자도 일어나고 있다. 삼성디스플레이는 올해 플렉서블 AMOLED 라인 45K~60K 투자가 이뤄질 것으로 보인다. LG디스플레이는 구미에 6세대 7.5K 규모의 투자를 진행 중이며 올해 추가 7.5K 발주가능성이 있다.

JDI 역시 2018년 양산목표로 2016년 1월 스마트폰용 AMOLED 패널 양산을 발표했으며 아이폰용 AMOLED 공급을 위한 투자가 2016년 이뤄질 가능성이 보인다.

이와 함께 애플은 오는 8월이나 9월까지는 OLED 발광재료 업체 선정까지도 마칠 것이라는 게 이충훈 대표의 예상이다.

이충훈 대표는 “사람의 눈은 밝기보다 명암비에 더 민감하다”며 “3000대 1의 명암비를 가진 LCD보다 1백만대 1의 명암비인 OLED가 월등하며 OLED는 인간 친화적인 디스플레이”라고 강조했다.

한편 이날 세미나에서는  또 다른 연사인 LG 경제연구원 이우근 책임연구원이 ‘애플의 OLED 채택이 한-중 디스플에이 산업에 미치는 영향’이라는 주제로 시장을 분석했다.

“한국 OLED 재료 업계, 특허 선점만이 살길”

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OLED Materials 산업에 대해 패널들이 토론하고 있다(출처=한국디스플레이산업협회)

OLED Materials 산업에 대해 패널들이 토론하고 있다(출처=한국디스플레이산업협회)

강현주 기자 / jjoo@olednet.com

앞으로 급속도로 시장이 커질 OLED 분야에서 한국 OLED 재료( Materials ) 업계가 경쟁력을 가지려면 특허를 선점해야 한다는 목소리가 커지고 있다.

지난 22일 한국디스플레이산업협회 주관으로 서울 벨레상스 호텔에서 열린 ‘OLED 소재산업의 오늘, 그리고 내일’ 포럼에서 OLED 재료 분야 전문가들은 한국 업체들은 특허 경쟁력을 확보해야 한다고 입을 모았다.

이날 업계와 학계 전문가들은 UDC, Idemitsu Kosan, Novaled 등 글로벌 OLED 재료 강자들의 특허 동향 및 업체별 경쟁력을 분석하고 한국 OLED 재료 업체들이 대응해야 할 방향을 제시했다.

이번 포럼 연사로 참여한 덕산네오룩스 이범성 연구소장은 시장을 선점한 글로벌 강자들에게 후발주자들이 맞서기 힘든 이유로 ‘특허 문제’를 지목했다.

이범성 소장은 “OLED는 패널은 어떤 제품이 들어갔는지 분석이 매우 용이하기 때문에 특허침해 여부가 명확히 드러난다”고 말했다. 이어 “30여개 업체들의 유효특허가 약 6천여건이라 나머지 업체들은 이를 피해가며 개발해야 한다”며 “20년분량의 특허들이 이미 출원 돼 있어 신생업체들이 진입하기가 매우 힘들다”고 설명했다.

이 소장은 “통상 매출액의 0.1%를 특허비용에 쓰면 많이 쓰는 셈인데 덕산네오룩스는 지난해 2.4%를 지불했다”며 이 회사가 특허 경쟁력 확보에 역량을 쏟고 있음을 강조했다.

또 다른 연사였던 성균관대학교 고분자공학부 이준엽 교수는 UDC의 인광특허가 2017년에 만료된다는 사실을 제시하며 이 회사의 후속특허들에 대응해야 한다고 한국 업체들에게 조언했다.

이준엽 교수는 “UDC의 특허는 그동안 소송들을 거치며 다소 축소되긴 했지만 여전히 인광 재료쪽이 거의 다 포함되는 넓은 클레임을 가지고 있다”며 “UDC는 후지의 특허를 인수하는 등 대응에 나섰으며 한국 업체들도 대응 방법을 찾아야 한다”고 말했다.

이 교수는 ▲신규 구조 인광 재료 ▲지연 형광 재료 부문을 UDC의 원천특허를 피해가기 위한 기술 개발 과제로 제시했다.

이번 행사에서 기조연설을 맡은 LG디스플레이의 양중환 연구위원도 “OLED 패널의 가격 경쟁력을 위해 재료 자체를 저렴하게 공급받아야 한다”며 “특허가 비용 절감에 중요하다”고 강조했다.

한편 유비산업리서치가 발간한 ‘2016 Emmiting Materials Annual Report’에 따르면 올해 글로벌 OLED 발광재료 시장은 전년대비 16% 성장한 6억 7700억 달러(한화 약 7700억 원) 규모를 형성할 전망이다.

UDC, 2015년 OLED 발광재료 매출 11% 하락한 $1억1300만…그래도 1등

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출처: UDC

강현주 기자 / jjoo@olednet.com

글로벌 OLED 발광재료 시장 패권을 쥐고 있는 UDC(Universial Display)가 지난 2015년 OLED 발광재료 매출이 전년대비 약 11% 하락했지만 시장 1위는 지켰다.

유비산업리서치의 ‘2016 OLED Emitting Material Report’에 따르면 UDC는 2015년 OLED 발광재료 부문에서 약 1억1300만달러(한화 약 1285억원)의 매출을 기록했다. UDC는 2014년에 1억2700만달러(한화 약 1442억원)의 매출을 올려 전세계 1위를 차지했으며 이어 2015년에도 패권을 사수했다.

UDC는 특히 Dopant 재료 부문에서 압도적인 점유율을 차지하고 있다. 2015년 Dopant 재료 시장은 UDC가 82%를 점했으며 그 외 업체들이 나머지 18%를 나눠가지고 있다. UDC는 인광 특허를 기반으로 삼성디스플레이와 LG디스플레이에 인광 Red와 Green Dopant를 공급하고 있다.

2015년 글로벌 OLED 발광재료 시장에서 매출액 기준 업체별 순위는 UDC에 이어 Idemitsu Kosan이 2위를 차지했으며 뒤 이어 Novaled, Dow Chem., Samsung SDI 순이다.

Dow Chem.은 지난 2013년에는 OLED 발광 재료 시장 매출 1위였으나 2014년 이후부터 UDC에 주도권을 계속 뺏기고 있는 상황이다.

2016년의 경우 LG디스플레이의 OLED TV 양산라인 가동률, 하반기 양산될 갤럭시 노트 시리즈의 재료구조 등이 OLED 발광재료 시장에 영향을 미칠 것으로 보인다.

한편 UDC는 오는 5월 5일(현지시간) 2016년 1분기 실적을 발표할 예정이다.

 

 

2015 OLED Emitting Materials Market, Dow Chem and LG Chem in Slump…Why?

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Hyunjoo Kang / Reporter /jjoo@olednet.com

 

 

In the midst of UDC`s domination of 2015 global materials market, with Japanese Idemitsu Kosan`s rapid growth and slump of emitting materials companied, there has been changes to the enviroment.

According to [2016 OLED Emitting Materials Annual Report] to be published by UBI Research in mid-April, the 2015 global emitting materials market recorded approximately a 17% growth compared to 2014

 

 

UDC’s revenue decreased from previous year, but remained at the top, the same as 2014. UDC was closely followed by Idemitsu Kosan despite its fourth place in 2014.

Such growth of Idemitsu Kosan is mainly due to its supply expansion in regards to Korean companies such as Samsung Display and LG Display. In 2015, Idemitsu Kosan began actively supplying Samsung Display with blue materials. Together with the increase in Idemitsu Kosan’s client LG Display’s OLED panel for TV mass production line’s operation rate, Idemitsu Kosan’s supply increased.

 

2015 Global OLED Emitting Materials Market Ranking
Source: UBI Research, 2016 OLED Emitting Materials Annual Report

◆ Samsung Display to Determine Up and Down of Companies

On the other hand, some OLED emitting materials companies that ranked high until 2014 showed poor performance. Dow Chem., that reached the second place in 2014 after UDC in revenue, fell to the fourth place in 2015 due to a big sales decrease. The third and fifth companies in 2014, LG Chem and Duksan Neolux respectively, fell below fifth place in 2015 due to the same reason.

Dow Chem. and Duksan Neolux are analyzed have recorded sales decrease in comparison to 2014 due to the supply chain changes of Samsung Display. In the case of LG Chem, the sales fell as the Samsung Display’s supply volume decreased.

However, Samsung SDI recorded sales increase, and entered within the top 5 in 2015. This company’s performance improved as it supplied Samsung Display with green host.

The company that recorded greatest growth is a Germany company Novaled that Samsung SDI, then Cheil Industries, took over. This company recorded approximately 150% revenue increase compared to previous year, and reached the third place in 2015 following UDC and Idemitsu Kosan. With the increase in OLED panel for TV mass production line’s operation rate, Novaled’s revenue greatly increased.

UBI Research estimated that in 2016, LG Display’s OLED TV mass production line operation rate and Galaxy Note series’ material structure, to be mass produced in the second half, will greatly affect revenue of OLED emitting materials companies.

2015년 발광재료 시장, 이데미츠 코산 등 약진·LG 등 부진

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2015년 글로벌 OLED Material 시장. 출처=유비산업리서치 ‘2016 OLED 발광 재료 보고서’

 

강현주 기자 / jjoo@olednet.com

2015년 전세계 발광재료 시장은 UDC가 패권을 사수한 가운데, 일본 업체인 Idemitsu Kosan의 눈부신 성장, 일부 한국 발광재료 업체들의 부진 등으로 지각변동이 있었다.

유비산업리서치(UBI Research)가 이달 중순 발간할 예정인 ‘2016 OLED 발광재료 보고서’에 따르면 지난해 전세계 발광재료 시장 매출액은 전년 대비 약 17%의 성장을 기록했다.

UDC는 다소 매출이 하락했지만 2014년에 이어 1위를 지켰다. 뒤이어 지난해 4위에 그쳤던 Idemitsu Kosan이 2015년에는 매출 성장을 달성해 2위에 등극, UDC를 바짝 쫓았다.

Idemitsu Kosan의 이 같은 성장은 삼성디스플레이와 LG디스플레이 등 한국 기업들에 대한 공급을 확대한 것이 주요인이다. Idemitsu Kosan은 2015년부터 본격적으로 삼성디스플레이에 블루 재료를 공급하기 시작했다. 이와 함께 Idemitsu Kosan의 고객사인 LG디스플레이의 TV용 OLED 패널 양산라인의 가동률이 증가함에 따라 Idemitsu Kosan의 공급이 늘어났다.

2015년 글로벌 OLED Material 시장 업체별 순위(출처=유비산업리서치 ‘2016 OLED 발광재료 보고서’)

◆삼성디스플레이가 업체들 희비 좌우

반면 2014년까지 높은 순위들을 차지했던 몇몇 업체들은 저조한 기록했다. 2014년 UDC에 이어 매출액 점유율 2위였던 Dow Chem.은 전년대비 큰 폭의 매출 하락으로 2015년에는 4위에 그쳤다. 2014년 3위였던 LG Chem.과 5위였던 Duksan Neolux도 역시 전년대비 매출 하락으로 2015년에는 5위권 밖으로 밀려났다.

Dow Chem.과 Duksan Neolux는 Samsung Display의 supply chain 변경에 영향을 받아 매출액이 2014년 대비 감소한 것으로 분석된다. LG Chem.의 경우 Samsung Display의 공급량 감소 때문에 매출이 줄었다.

단 Samsung SDI는 5위권 안에 진입했다. 이 업체는 Samsung Display에 그린 호스트를 공급하면서 실적이 개선됐다.

가장 큰 폭의 성장을 기록한 업체는 Samsung SDI에서 제일모직시절 인수한 독일 업체 Novaled다. 이 업체는 전년대비 약 150%의 매출 성장을 달성하며 2015년 UDC, Idemitsu Kosan에 이어 단숨에 3위에 등극했다. TV용 OLED panel 양산라인의 가동률이 증가하면서 Novaled는 매출액이 큰폭으로 상승했다.

유비산업리서치 관계자는 “2016년에는 LG Display의 OLED TV 양산라인 가동률과 하반기 양산될 Galaxy Note series의 재료 구조에 따라 발광재료업체들의 매출액에 큰 영향을 끼칠 것”이라고 전망했다.

 

 

Foxconn’s Takeover of Sharp, Who is the Biggest Casualty?

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Hyunjoo Kang / Reporter / jjoo@olednet.com

 

Sharp_Head_Office(Source : Wikipedia)

Sharp_Head_Office(Source : Wikipedia)

Following Foxconn’s takeover of Sharp, which company will end up suffering the most?

On March 30, Taiwan’s Hon Hai’s Foxconn agreed to buy Sharp for about $ 3.5 billion. With this decision, there is much focus on how it will affect the global display market.

 

Korean companies leading the global display market such as Samsung Display and LG Display as well as key display companies in Japan, China, and Taiwan are keenly interested in this takeover.

 

Some experts analyze that, out of these companies, the one being most threatened by this takeover will be Japan Display.

 

◆ Japan Display, May Not be Able to Retain OLED Supply for iPhone

 

As it became known that iPhone will replace the LCD panel with OLED for future iPhone, it is expected to create a great business within the OLED market. 3 companies, Samsung Display, LG Display, and Japan Display, have been considered as the most likely supplier for iPhone’s OLED panel.

 

Some media have reported that Samsung Display and Apple have already signed OLED supply agreement, and LG Display and Japan Display are known to be having a heated competition to become the secondary supplier.

 

However, this Foxconn’s takeover of Sharp could break the big 3. Of these, experts estimate that Japan Display is most likely to be pushed out.

 

iPhone’s largest LCD panel supplier is LG Display, with over 50%. Following this, Samsung Display and Japan’s Sharp are the second and third LCD panel supplier for iPhone but the order has not been confirmed.

 

As it became known that Apple will utilize OLED, Japan Display with investment plans for OLED mass production line rose as the possible panel supplier for Apple. Rather than Sharp, Japan Display became a strong candidate for OLED supplier for iPhone along with Samsung Display and LG Display.

 

However, it all changed when Foxconn bought Sharp. Sharp does not have OLED line for mobile device at the moment, but its small device LCD line is LTPS based that could be transformed to OLED. Foxconn, expected to invest in OLED sector, is likely to turn Sharp’s small device LCD line into OLED line.

 

Furthermore, Foxconn is Apple’s key production collaborator. Worse, even Foxconn’s newly bought Sharp is one of Apple’s panel suppliers. Excluding Samsung Display and LG Display with verified OLED technology prowess, Apple could choose Foxconn with closer connections rather than Japan Display as an OLED supplier.

 

One display industry expert explained that Foxconn could push out Japan Display regarding iPhone OLED supplier issue, and even if that does not happen, it will have very narrow standing. He added that although compared to Samsung Display and LG Display, Foxconn and Japan Display are both latecomers in OLED sector, Foxconn is in a more favorable position due to its solid relationship with Apple.

[2015 OLED Evaluation Seminar] Transparent Flexible Display’s Necessity Found in Worth

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On December 4, UBI Research hosted 2015 OLED Evaluation Seminar in HJ Convention Center in Seoul, South Korea. The first speaker, LG Display TFD Biz Operation Group’s Chief Research Engineer Jeonghyun Kim spoke on transparent and flexible display’s worth.

 

Under the title of ‘Transparent/Flexible Display’s Future’, Kim discussed overall development trend of display and marketability. At present, the display market is changing to OLED, but as the growth rate is decreasing Kim added that new market creation is necessary. He explained that this is the time for a breakthrough of new market and transparent flexible display can play the lead. Kim also mentioned the marketability of transparent flexible display that can be actualized through OLED.

 

Transparent flexible OLED display possesses high technology level required by plastic substrate, low temperature process technology, and module among others. However, while introducing transparent and flexible OLED display’s worth, Kim emphasized the need for related technology development. The transparent display’s worth, mentioned by Kim, includes space expansion potential through home interior design, communication and safety increase within public facilities, AR information on existing transparent area, and sentimental and recreational experience at observatory and gallery. Regarding flexible display’s worth, he cited mobility in thinness and lightness, utilization through digital board, and space expansion through design freedom.

 

As a prime market for transparent flexible display application, Kim discussed automotive display market; considering the automotive market trend toward driverless/electric vehicles, display utilization inside the vehicle will increase and automotive industry will seek OLED display first.

 

With the LG Display’s video with diverse applications of transparent flexible display and future direction for display, Kim concluded his presentation.

[2015 OLED 결산 세미나]투명 플렉서블 디스플레이의 필요성, 가치에서 찾다

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4일 역삼동 HJ컨벤션센터에서 유비산업리서치가 개최한 ‘2015 OLED 결산 세미나’의 첫 번째 발표자로 LG디스플레이의 김정현 TFD 사업운영단장이 투명과 플렉서블 디스플레이의 가치를 소개했다.

김정현 단장은 ‘투명/플렉서블 디스플레이의 미래’라는 주제로 발표하면서 디스플레이 전체적인 개발 동향과 시장성을 정리하였다. 현재 디스플레이 시장은 OLED로 변화하고 있지만 성장률이 낮아지고 있어 신시장 창출의 필요성에 대해 덧붙였다. 김 단장은 ‘새로운 시장의 돌파구가 필요한 시점이고, 투명 플렉서블 디스플레이가 주역이 될 수 있다’고 말하면서 OLED로 구현할 수 있는 투명 플렉서블 디스플레이의 시장성에 대해 언급했다.

또한 투명 플렉서블 OLED 디스플레이가 플라스틱 기판, 저온공정기술, 모듈 등에서 요구하는 기술 수준이 높지만 투명과 플렉서블 OLED 디스플레이의 가치를 소개하면서 관련 기술개발의 필요성을 강조하였다. 김 단장이 말한 투명 디스플레이의 가치는 집안 인테리어를 통한 공간 확장성과 공공 시설에서의 소통의 확장성과 안정성 증가, 기존 투명한 곳의 AR 정보 제공, 전망대나 전시회에서의 감성적인 체험 및 즐거운 제공 등을 꼽았다. 플렉서블 디스플레이의 가치에서는 얇고 가벼운 휴대성과 디지털 보드를 통한 활용성, 디자인 자유도를 통한 공간 확장성 등을 언급했다.

김정현 단장은 투명 플렉서블 디스플레이가 적용될 수 있는 유력한 시장으로서 자동차용 디스플레이 시장 언급하며 ‘무인/전기 자동차로 변화하고 있는 자동차 시장의 트렌드를 미루어보아 내부 인테리어에서 디스플레이의 활용도가 높아질 것으로서 자동차 업계에서 OLED 디스플레이를 먼저 찾을 것’이라고 발표했다.

LG디스플레이의 김정현 단장은 투명 플렉서블 디스플레이를 이용한 다양한 application이 소개되는 LG디스플레이 영상과 함께 미래의 디스플레이 방향을 제시하며 발표를 마쳤다.

A Place Where the Latest OLED Technology Trend Can Be Seen In One Glance UBI Research Hosts 2015 OLED Key Technology Seminar

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A seminar where latest technology of next generation display, OLED (Organic Light Emitting Diode), can be easily understood will take place. UBI Research, a research company specializing in OLED (http://www.ubiresearch.co.kr, president: Dr. Choong Hoon Yii), revealed that it will hold 2015 OLED Key Technology Seminar in COEX (Samseong-dong, Gangnam-gu, Seoul, South Korea) on 27 Aug.

This seminar will discuss latest issues in OLED industry such as processes in flexible OLED, encapsulation, oxide-TFT, blue phosphorous emitting material, and solution process, and focus on technology development and its future.

Encapsulation, which decides OLED panel’s final yield and lifetime, is an important process that determines exterior design in flexible OLED and large size OLED panel. It is also sensitive to light characteristics in surface light structure. At the 2015 OLED Key Technology Seminar, Dr. Choong Hoon Yi (president of UBI Research) is scheduled to introduce, through process and material analysis, essential technology needed for OLED panel to continue its growth and encapsulation technology trends.

At this seminar, Dr. Nam Sung Cho of ETRI (Electronics and Telecommunications Research Institute) will give a presentation on display technology that utilizes white OLED technology that is receiving much interest by Korean display market. He will detail white OLED technology’s present and future from lighting to large size TV.

Professor Sung Kyu Park of Chung-Ang University, will introduce oxide material that is in spotlight as display and next generation wearable device. He will also talk about internationally much discussed related technology trends and future progress.

Further presentation topics by OLED top experts include:

– AMOLED panel technology trends analysis (Hyun Jun Jang, senior researcher of UBI Research)

– Oxide-TFT technology status (Professor Ga-Won Lee, Chungnam National University)

– Solution process and vacuum evaporation OLED material’s status and forecast (Professor Sung-Ho Jin, Pusan National University)

– High efficiency blue phosphorous emitting material development trend (Professor Jun Yeob Lee, Sungkyunkwan University)

– Flexible OLED technology trend

UBI Research holds OLED Key Technology Seminars every year from 2011 and provides place for networking and sharing of information. Seminar registration can be completed through UBI Research website (www.ubiresearch.co.kr).

프로그램2

[Update]최신 OLED 기술 동향을 한 자리에서 파악할 수 있는 세미나 장 열려… 유비산업리서치, ‘2015 OLED 핵심기술 세미나’ 개최

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차세대 디스플레이로 자리매김한 유기발광다이오드(OLED)의 최신 기술 동향을 파악할수 있는 세미나 장이 마련된다.

‘OLED 전문 기업’ 유비산업리서치(http://www.ubiresearch.co.kr, 대표 이충훈)는 8월 27일(목) 서울 강남구 삼성동에 소재한 COEX에서 ‘2015 OLED 핵심 기술 세미나’를 개최한다고 밝혔다.

이번 세미나는 최신 OLED 산업에서 이슈 되고 있는 flexible OLED와 encapsulation(봉지기술), Oxide-TFT, 청색인광재료, solution process 공정 등에 대한 주제로 OLED 산업에서 주목할 만한 기술의 개발 현황과 전망에 대해 집중 소개한다.

OLED 패널에 있어서 최종 수율과 패널 수명을 결정하는 encapsulation은 Flexible OLED와 대면적 OLED 패널에서 외곽 디자인을 좌우하는 중요한 공정이며, 또한 전면 발광 구조에서는 광 특성에도 민감하게 작용한다. ‘2015 OLED 핵심 기술 세미나’에서는 유비산업리서치 이충훈 대표가 최근 OLED 주요 업체들이 사용하는 공정과 주요 재료들을 분석하여 향후 OLED 패널이 시장에서 지속 성장하기 위해 필수적으로 확보해야 할 기술과 encapsulation 기술 동향을 소개할 예정이다.

이 자리에서 한국전자통신연구원 조남성 박사는 최신 한국 디스플레이 시장에서 주목받고 있는 White OLED 기술을 기반으로 하는 디스플레이 기술에 대해 조명부터 대형 TV까지, 차세대 디스플레이의 핵심기술인 백색 OLED 기술의 현황과 미래에 대하여 설명한다.

아울러 중앙대학교 박성규 교수는 현재, 디스플레이 및 차세대 웨어러블 디바이스 소자로서 각광 받고 있는 산화물 전자소재의 특성 및 용액공정 기반으로 발전하고 있는 새로운 기술 및 응용에 대한 소개와 더불어 최근 국내외적으로 각광 받고 있는 관련 기술 동향 및 향후 발전 전망을 발표할 예정이다.

이 밖에도 ▲ AMOLED 패널 기술 동향 분석 (유비산업리서치, 장현준 선임연구원), ▲ 산화물박막트랜지스터 기술 현황 (충남대학교, 이가원 교수), ▲ 용액공정과 진공증착용 OLED 재료의 현황과 전망 (부산대학교, 진성호 교수), ▲ 고효율 청색 인광재료 개발 동향 (성균관대학교, 이준엽 교수), ▲ Flexible OLED 기술 동향, 이 OLED 최고 전문가들에 의해 다뤄진다.

유비산업리서치는 2011년부터 매년 OLED 핵심 기술 세미나를 개최 하며, OLED 전문기업으로서 OLED를 위한 가치 있는 공유의 장을 마련하고 있다. 세미나 참가신청은 유비산업리서치 홈페이지(www.ubiresearch.co.kr)를 통해 할 수 있다.

 

OLED Rises to Become Purple Ocean of Existing Lighting Industry

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OLED is receiving much attention as the next generation lighting as a greener lighting that can replace existing incandescent and fluorescent lights and reduce energy consumption, as well as lighting that can create new market. According to this trend, many organizations are analyzing OLED lighting industry in diverse directions and presenting the analysis.

At the 5th LED Industrial Forum which was held recently together with LED & OLED Expo 2015, Song Hyokyung, a senior researcher of WIPS, gave a presentation on the topic of OLED lighting industry’s patent trend and market status. She explained that as OLED lighting sector is a new market with a great growth potential, the technology development competition is fierce, and presented SWOT analysis results of Korean businesses.

For Korean OLED lighting industry’s strengths, Song gave examples which included world’s highest quality of OLED, AMOLED development and mass production technology, production ability, and diverse convergence technology solution. As for the opportunity factors, Song suggested application expansion through convergence with flexible technology, and increase in demand as the lighting market expands. On the other hand, Song revealed that the deficiency in original key technology on OLED material and components and the lack of mid to long term strategy regarding new technology development could be a weakness for Korean industry. She also gave China’s pursuit, possession of intellectual property rights by leading companies, and appearance of new light sources such as QLED (quantum dot emitting diode) as factors that could pose threat. However, OLED lighting induces warm atmosphere as well as being environmentally friendly and a future convergence industry. With these factors, Song concluded that if these weaknesses and threat factors can be overcome, OLED lighting will be able to show higher CAGR than other lighting markets.

UBI Research analyzed OLED lighting industry via STEEP analysis method in OLED Lighting Annual Report, published in May, 2015. UBI Research analyzed that as income increases, interest in interior design light using specialized lighting, other than necessary lighting, increases. Also, in terms of technology, OLED lighting projects in Korea, the US, and Europe are actively being carried out and estimated that the technology development will gain speed through related technology integration.

Economically, UBI Research analyzed that the market entry barrier is not high as the OLED lighting industry is not monopolistic. In terms of environment, incandescent lighting’s carbon production and fluorescent light’s mercury are becoming big concerns. Based on these factors UBI Research forecast that demand for green lighting, such as OLED lighting, will increase. Policy wise, OLED lighting industry clusters were formed and are supported by Korean and Japanese governments. As OLED lighting related projects are also being vigorously carried out OLED lighting industry is expected to become a high growth industry.

Based on both analyses OLED lighting is anticipated to be an industry with much potential for growth. If speedy technology development occurs and demand for environmentally friendly lighting increases, it is expected that the OLED lighting share of total lighting market will rapidly increase. UBI Research estimated that total OLED lighting market will grow at CAGR of approx. 70% from 2016, and show US$ 10,000 million revenue in 2025.

 

LG Chem.’s Flexible OLED Lighting, Euroluce 2015

LG Chem.’s Flexible OLED Lighting, Euroluce 2015

 

OLED, 기존 조명 산업의 Purple Ocean으로 부상

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OLED 조명은 환경규제와 에너지 절약을 위해 기존의 백열등과 형광등을 대체할 수 있고 새로운 조명 시장을 창출할 수 있는 차세대 조명으로 주목받고 있다. 이런 동향에 부합하여 여러 기관에서는 OLED 조명산업을 다양한 방향으로 분석하여 발표하고 있다.

최근 ‘국제 LED & OLED 엑스포 2015’와 함께 열린 제5회 LED산업포럼에서 송효경 윕스 책임연구원은 ‘OLED조명산업의 특허동향과 시장현황’이라는 주제발표를 통해 OLED 조명 분야는 새로운 시장이면서 성장 가능성이 큰 사업이기 때문에 기술 우위를 점하기 위한 기술개발 경쟁이 치열하게 진행되고 있다고 발표하면서 국내 산업의 SWOT분석결과를 제시하였다

송연구원은 국내 OLED조명산업의 강점으로 세계 최고의 OLED, AMOLED 개발과 양산기술, 생산능력, 다양한 융합기술에 대한 솔루션을 꼽았다. 또 기회요인으로는 플렉서블 기술과의 융합을 통한 적용분야의 확대, 조명시장이 확대되는데 따른 수요의 증가 등을 제시하였다. 반면 OLED 소재와 부품에 대한 원천핵심기술 부족과 신기술 개발에 대한 중장기 전략 미흡이 약점이 될 수 있다고 밝혔으며, 위협요인으로는 중국의 추격과 선진 기업의 지적재산권 선점, QLED(양자점 발광다이오드)와 같은 새로운 광원의 출현을 꼽았다. 송연구원은 “이러한 약점과 위협요인들이 극복된다면 친환경, 감성, 미래 융합 산업이라는 점에서 OLED 조명은 다른 조명 시장보다 큰 연평균 성장률을 기록할 것으로 전망된다”고 말하였다.

유비산업리서치에서 2015년 5월에 발간한 “OLED Lighting Annual Report”에서는 STEEP분석법을 통해 OLED 조명 산업을 분석하였다. 유비산업리서치는 사회적으로 소득이 증가할수록 생활에 꼭 필요한 필수조명 이외의 특수조명을 이용한 인테리어 디자인 조명에 관심이 높아진다고 분석하였다. 또한 기술적으로 한국과 미국 유럽의 OLED lighting project가 적극적으로 진행되고 있으며, 관련 기술 집적화를 통해 기술 개발이 빠르게 진행될 것으로 예상하였다.

경제적으로는 OLED 조명 산업은 독과점 형태를 띄고 있지 않아 시장 진입 장벽이 높지 않다고 분석하였으며 환경적으로는 백열등의 탄소 생성과 형광등의 수은 함유에 대해 환경적 문제가 대두되고 있어 OLED와 같은 친환경 조명에 대한 수요가 늘어날 것이라고 전망했다. 또한 정책적으로는 한국과 일본 정부에서 OLED 조명 산업 클러스터 조성사업을 선정하고 지원하고 있으며, 유럽에서도 OLED 조명 관련 프로젝트들이 활발하게 진행 중에 있기 때문에 OLED 조명 산업이 앞으로 고성장 산업으로서 거듭날 것으로 예상하였다.

두 가지의 분석법을 종합해볼 때 OLED 조명은 충분히 성장 가능한 산업으로 전망되며, 빠른 기술 개발과 친환경 조명에 대한 수요의 증가가 이루어진다면 전체 조명 시장에 대한 점유율을 빠른 시간 내에 높일 수 있을 것으로 예상된다. 유비산업리서치에서는 OLED lighting 전체 조명 시장을 2016년부터 연평균 성장률 약 70%로 성장하여 2025년에는 US$ 10,000 million의 시장을 형성 할 것으로 전망하였다.

LG Chem.'s Flexible OLED Lighting, Euroluce 2015

LG Chem.’s Flexible OLED Lighting, Euroluce 2015

 

Apple’s Next iPhone, Can Flexible OLED Be Applied?

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Smartphone’s hardware performance has improved as much as possible and can no longer be the differential point within the market. Following this, Samsung’s Galaxy Note 4 Edge and S6 Edge, and LG’s G-flex series are differentiating themselves from existing products through flexible (plastic) AMOLED panel applied new designs and functions. Particularly, Galaxy S6 Edge’s higher than anticipated demand means that the ratio between total Galaxy S6 and S6 Edge demand was expected to be approximately between 8:2 and 7:3, but at present it is estimated to be 5:5. To meet this demand, Samsung Display began actively operating A3 line, and carried out investment to convert A2 rigid line to flexible line.

As interest in flexible OLED is rising within the next generation smartphone market, there is much talk that Apple will also apply flexible OLED to the next product. UBI Research’s Flexible OLED Annual Report, published on 18 June, analyzed Apple’s flexible OLED application potential and forecast scenario.

According to the Flexible OLED Annual Report, other than Samsung Display, LG Display is the only company with the technology to mass produce flexible AMOLED. Japan Display and AUO also possess flexible AMOLED production technology and with investment, mass production is analyzed to be possible. Therefore, for the Apple to apply flexible OLED to the iPhone series to be released in 2017, the Gen 6 flexible AMOLED line investment of LG Display, Japan Display, or AUO has to be carried out within 2015. However, as Japan Display and AUO’s mass production technology has not been verified, depending on the currently mass producing LG Display’s Gen 6 line investment timing the flexible OLED applied iPhone release date will be decided.

As the results of analyzing future model’s shipment based on the analysis of iPhone series’ sales progress so far, to meet the demand for Apple’s flexible AMOLED applied model’s shipment in 2020, approximately 170K monthly capa. by Gen 6 (considering operation and yield rate) is needed. Considering the recent trend of 20K capa. per 1 line, 8 or 9 flexible AMOLED line are required, and Apple’s future flexible AMOLED line investment is estimated to be actively carried out.

On the other hand, flexible AMOLED market is forecast to grow at 57% CAGR from 2016, and show approximately US$ 35,000 million revenue in 2020.Flexible AMOLED Panel Market Forecast

Apple의 차기 iPhone, Flexible OLED 적용할 수 있을까?

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스마트폰 시장에서 하드웨어성능은 높아질 만큼 높아져 더 이상 차별화 포인트가 될 수 없어졌다. 이에 따라 Samsung의 Galaxy Note4 Edge와 S6 Edge, LG의 G-flex 시리즈는 기존의 flexible(plastic) AMOLED panel을 적용하여 새로운 디자인과 기능으로 기존 제품과 차별화 하고 있다. 특히 Galaxy S6 Edge는 기대보다 높은 수요를 보이고 있어 전체 Galaxy S6와 S6 Edge의 비율을 약 8:2 에서 7:3정도로 예상했었지만 현재는 약 5:5 정도가 될 것으로 예상되고 있다. 이에 따라 Samsung Display에서도 물량을 맞추기 위해 A3 line의 본격 가동하고 A2 line의 rigid line을 flexible line으로 전환투자를 진행하였다.

이처럼 차세대 스마트폰 시장에서 flexible OLED에 대한 관심이 높아지면서 Apple도 차기 제품에 flexible OLED를 적용할 것이라는 소문이 무성하다. 유비산업리서치에서 18일에 발간한 “Flexible OLED Annual Report”에서는 Apple의 flexible OLED 적용 가능성과 예상 시나리오를 분석하였다.

Flexible OLED Annual Report에 따르면, Samsung Display 이외에 flexible AMOLED를 양산할 수 있는 기술을 가진 업체는 LG Display가 유일하며, Japan Display와 AUO도 flexible AMOLED 제조 기술을 보유하여 투자가 이루어진다면 양산은 가능할 것으로 분석된다. 따라서, Apple이 2017년에 출시될 iPhone series에 flexible OLED를 적용하기 위해서는 LG Display와 Japan Display 또는 AUO의 Gen6 flexible AMOLED line 투자가 2015년 안에 이루어져야 할 것으로 보았다. 하지만 Japan Display와 AUO의 양산 기술은 검증되지 않았기 때문에 현재 양산을 진행하고 있는 LG Display의 Gen6 line 투자 시점에 따라 flexible OLED가 적용된 iPhone을 볼 시점이 정해질 것으로 내다봤다.

또한 iPhone series의 그 동안의 판매 추이를 분석하여 앞으로 출시될 신 모델의 출하량을 분석한 결과, 2020년 Apple의 flexible AMOLED가 적용된 모델들의 출하량을 소화하기 위해서는 Gen6 기준 월 약 170K(가동률과 수율 고려)가 필요한 것으로 나타났다. 이는 최근 추세가 1 line당 20K인 것을 감안하면 약 8~9개의 flexible AMOLED line이 필요한 것으로, Apple 향(向)의 flexible AMOLED line 투자가 본격적으로 이루어질 것으로 예상된다.

한편 flexible AMOLED 시장은 2016년부터 연평균 57%로 성장하여 2020년에 약 US$ 35,000 million의 시장을 형성할 것으로 내다봤다.

Large Size OLED Panel Technology Match, ‘WRGB vs. Solution Process RGB’

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Large size OLED panel is currently being mass produced by LG Display using WRGB method, and investment in this method for large size panel is being considered by OLED panel latecomers. Another method that can be used to produce OLED is RGB method. In 2013 Samsung Display mass produced using RGB method but halted the process due to problems in yield rate and technology. However, recently as key display companies are developing RGB method using solution process for large area OLED panel, latecomers are having to make a difficult choice in process selection.

 

OLED specialized panel company JOLED, established by JDI, Sony, Panasonic, and Innovation Network Corporation of Japan (INCJ), is aiming for mid-to-large size OLED panel production using solution process. Additionally, other companies including AUO, BOE, LG Display, and Samsung Display are developing large size OLED panel using solution process technology. In 2013, AUO presented 65 inch FHD panel that used solution process technology, and BOE revealed 30.5 inch FHD panel. Panasonic also presented solution process applied 4K panel.

 

According to 2015 White OLED Display Annual Report, published by UBI Research, WRGB method has an advantage in high mass production potential as open mask is used. However, due to the stack structure and color filter use, it has a disadvantage of increased panel production cost. On the other hand, the materials and process technology for solution process are not yet mature, but has the advantage of being able to produce large size OLED panel in Gen 8 size or larger without glass cutting using RGB method. It also can reduce the production cost as the material efficiency is high and does not require color filter.

 

At present the mass produced glass area by the latecomers forecast to manufacture large area AMOLED panel is expected to occupy approximately 30% of the total large area OLED market in 2020, and latecomers’ choice in technology investment will be a key point. Therefore, the large area panel technology leadership will be decided on whether WRGB and solution process methods can solve the issues that each has.

By DaRae Kim, reporter@olednet.co.kr

대면적 OLED panel 기술 승부 ‘WRGB vs. Solution process RGB’

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대면적 OLED panel은 현재 LG Display가 WRGB방식으로 양산 중이며, 후발 OLED 패널업체들도 대면적 패널에서 WRGB 방식으로의 투자를 검토 중에 있다. OLED를 제조할 수 있는 또 다른 방식에는 RGB 방식이 있다. 2013년 삼성 디스플레이에서 RGB 방식으로 양산을 진행했지만 수율과 기술적인 문제로 중단한 적이 있다. 하지만, 최근 주요 디스플레이 업체에서 solution process를 이용한 RGB 방식으로 대면적 OLED 패널의 개발을 진행하면서 후발 업체들에게 공정 방식 선택에 대한 고민을 안기고 있다.

산업혁신기구(INCJ)와 JDI, Sony, Panasonic이  합작하여 설립한 OLED 전문 panel 업체인 JOLED는 solution process기술을 이용하여 중대형 OLED 패널을 생산하는 것을 목표로 하고 있다. 그 외에도, AUO, BOE, LG 디스플레이, 삼성 디스플레이 등이 solution process 기술을 이용한 대면적 OLED 패널을 개발하고 있다. AUO는 2013년 solution process 기술을 사용한 65인치 FHD 패널을 선보였으며, BOE도 30.5인치 FHD 패널을 공개하였다. 또한 Panasonic도 solution process를 사용한 4K 패널을 공개한 바 있다.

유비산업리서치에서 발간한 ‘2015 White OLED Display Annual Report’에 따르면 WRGB방식은 open mask를 사용하기 때문에 양산성이 높다는 장점이 있지만, 적층 구조과 color filter를 사용해서 패널 제조 원가가 상승하는 단점이 있다. solution process는 재료와 공정 기술이 성숙되지 않았지만, RGB 방식으로서 Gen8이상의 size에서 glass cutting없이 대면적 OLED 패널을 제작할 수 있으며, 재료 효율이 높고 color filter를 사용하지 않기 때문에 패널 제조 원가를 줄일 수 있는 장점이 있다.

현재 대면적 AMOLED 패널을 생산할 것으로 예상되는 후발업체들의 양산 glass area은 2020년 전체 대면적 OLED 시장의 약 33%가 될 것으로 전망되어 후발업체들의 투자기술 선정이 관건이 될 전망이다. 따라서 WRGB와 solution process가 가지고 있는 각각의 이슈를 해결하느냐에 따라 앞으로 대면적 패널의 기술 주도권의 향방이 갈릴 것으로 예상된다.

OLED Emitting Material Market, To Grow into US$ 560 Million in 2015

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According to ‘’OLED Emitting Material Annual Report’’ published by UBI Research on 13 March, OLED emitting material market of 2015 is forecast to grow into US$ 560 million, a 16% growth compared to 2014. The report analyzed that active operation of LG Display’s E4 (M2) line, and operation of Samsung Display’s A3 line, and an increase in operation rate by existing A1 and A2 lines are the main cause for the market growth. Additionally, due to the intense mass production start by the latecomers and expansion of large area OLED panel market, the OLED emitting material market is estimated to grow by 35% compound annual growth rate, and form approx. US$ 2,500 million market in 2020.

In terms of countries, Korea occupies the most of 2015 OLED emitting material market with its market share of 90% or higher. However, from 2017, with China’s bold mass production, China is expected to hold market share of over 20% or higher. Thus, emitting material companies are projected to target Chinese market.

AMOLED panel applied to Samsung Elec.’s Galaxy S6 and S6 Edge, which were revealed in MWC2015, utilized new supply chain and it is estimated these will be used for AMOLED panels of future products. Dow Chem.’s phosphorescent red host materials were chosen for the new supply chain.

<OLED Emitting Material Market Forecast Source: UBI Research><OLED Emitting Material Market Forecast Source: UBI Research>

Regarding this matter, the head of UBI Research Dr. Choong Hoon Yi will give an in-depth presentation titled ‘The Future of OLED’ discussing OLED emitting material market and OLED industry at the 1st OLED Korea Conference. The 1st OLED Korea Conference will be held in SC Convention in Gangnam, Seoul, South Korea on April 2.

OLED 발광재료 시장, 2015년 US$ 560 Million 규모로 성장

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3월 13일 유비산업리서치에서 발간한 ‘’OLED Emitting Material Annual Report’’’ 에 따르면 2015년 OLED 발광재료 시장은 2014년 대비 16% 상승한 US$ 560 million의 규모가 될 것으로 전망하였다. 보고서에서는 LG Display의 E4(M2) line의 본격적인 가동과 Samsung Display의 A3 line 가동, 기존의 A1, A2 line의 가동률 증가를 재료 시장 성장의 주요 요인으로 분석했다. 또한 후발업체들의 본격적인 양산 시작과 대면적 OLED panel 시장이 확대됨에 따라 OLED 발광재료 시장은 연평균 성장률 35%로 성장하여 2020년에 약 US$ 2,500 million의 시장을 형성 할 것으로 내다봤다.

국가별로는 2015년에는 한국이 90%이상의 점유율로 OLED 발광재료 시장의 대부분을 차지하지만 2017년부터는 중국의 본격적인 양산으로 20%이상의 OLED 발광재료 시장 점유율을 차지할 것으로 나타남에 따라 발광재료 업체들의 중국시장 공략이 핵심 이슈가 될 전망이다.

MWC2015에서 Samsung Elec.가 공개한 Galaxy S6와 S6 Edge에 적용된 AMOLED panel에는 신규재료가 적용되었으며 앞으로 출시될 신규 제품의 AMOLED panel에도 적용될 것으로 예상된다. 신규 재료에는 인광 red host에 Dow Chem.이 채택 되었다.

OLED Emitting Material Market Forecast Source: UBI Research

이와 관련하여 유비산업리서치의 이충훈 대표는 4월 2일 강남 SC컨벤션센터에서 열리는 제 1회 OLED Korea Conference에서 ‘OLED의 미래’라는 주제로 OLED 발광 재료 시장과 OLED산업에 대해 심도 있게 발표할 예정이다.

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